NL 100 time to gamble ? - Small Stakes Pot Limit and No Limit

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NL 100 time to gamble ?

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06-03-2008 , 12:47 PM

Boerstyboy

old hand

Join Date: Mar 2008 Posts: 1,345

OnGame Skin, $1 NL Hold'em Cash Game, 5 Players
LeggoPoker.com - Hand History Converter

BTN: $112.25
SB: $99.85
Hero (BB): $108.20
UTG: $94.95
CO: $74.50

UTG posts $0.50
Pre-Flop: Q

dealt to Hero (BB)
2 folds, Hero raises to $3.50, UTG folds, CO calls $2.50

Flop: ($7.50) 7

(2 Players)
CO bets $3, Hero raises to $14, CO calls $11

Turn: ($35.50) 2

(2 Players)
CO bets $57 and is All-In, Hero ???

gamble or not ?

06-03-2008 , 01:06 PM

Claunchy

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Jun 2005 Posts: 10,757

Well, reads help, but I'm probably not folding very often.

06-03-2008 , 01:42 PM

Verstehen

old hand

Join Date: Mar 2008 Posts: 1,694

Hmm, marginal spot. I think you pretty clearly need to improve to win this hand.

You're getting 1.6:1 pot odds with no implied odds. Even assuming every out is clean and 2 pair/trip queens/3rd nut flush will win every time, this isn't a great call (14 outs = about 3:1 to improve). Unless he's a huge donk and shoving a) a worse one-pair hand b) a pure bluff this is not a hugely +EV call.

06-03-2008 , 01:47 PM

Kilillan

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Dec 2005 Posts: 13,783

this could easily be a draw, however

06-03-2008 , 01:50 PM

so sick bro

veteran

Join Date: Sep 2006 Posts: 2,275

I don't hesitate to put the money in here. I tend to think most people that are playing on less than 100BB stacks usually suck and I'll just assume his range is Q+ along with any number of draws. The board is so drawy here you'll find you're actually far ahead more times than you'd think. Crushing KJ/TJ/8T here and with the Q high flush draw you're absolutely owning all flush draws (you're well ahead of K and A high fl draws and he's drawing stone dead with any lower fl drwas) stick the moneys in imo

06-03-2008 , 02:32 PM

insyder19

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Jun 2007 Posts: 6,167

The funny thing is that I think you have the best hand.

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