Middle Set on coordinated board
03-08-2011
, 08:39 AM
(I know...it's actually bottom set. Whoops)
Villain is 45/28 over 81 hands.
He's been rather fishy, and I've seen him check back top pair on the turn as the aggressor on a pretty dry board. I marked him as a bad valuebetter.
Flop:
- Villain fails at Cbetting and is playing pretty straightforward. I donkbet thinking he would raise twopair+ on the flop a vast portion of the time and I could quickly stack off. He would flat a great number of straight draws, and I've seen him float gutshots.
Note: Not sure if he would raise or flat an overpair, nor if he would bet-fold facing a check raise instead.
Flop okay?
Turn: Pretty much plays itself.
River:
I considered an 8, T, or K as my only scare cards (not the T as much). Is it okay to assume that, since he's pot controlling on the turn, it's rather unlikely he's value-raising worse here? KJ is basically the only worse hand that improves that could consider value-raising, but he didn't tank at all before the raise. I figured he most likely would just flat two pair, and if he raised would likely have to go into the tank for a few seconds.
And because of his fishy tendencies, I assumed I wouldn't be facing many airballs in his river raising range...
Is this a bet-call, or is a bet-fold okay here?
Villain is 45/28 over 81 hands.
He's been rather fishy, and I've seen him check back top pair on the turn as the aggressor on a pretty dry board. I marked him as a bad valuebetter.
Poker Stars, $0.50/$1 No Limit Hold'em Cash, 6 Players
Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite. View Hand #8140392
UTG: $108.95 (109 bb)
MP: $114.50 (114.5 bb)
CO: $103.15 (103.2 bb)
BTN: $66.10 (66.1 bb)
Hero (SB): $188.50 (188.5 bb)
BB: $146.90 (146.9 bb)
Preflop: Hero is SB with 7
7
UTG folds, MP raises to $3, 2 folds, Hero calls $2.50, BB folds
Flop: ($7) J 7
9 (2 players)
Hero bets $4.95, MP calls $4.95
Turn: ($16.90) 2 (2 players)
Hero bets $12.05, MP calls $12.05
River: ($41) K (2 players)
Hero bets $22, MP raises to $69,
Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite. View Hand #8140392
UTG: $108.95 (109 bb)
MP: $114.50 (114.5 bb)
CO: $103.15 (103.2 bb)
BTN: $66.10 (66.1 bb)
Hero (SB): $188.50 (188.5 bb)
BB: $146.90 (146.9 bb)
Preflop: Hero is SB with 7
7UTG folds, MP raises to $3, 2 folds, Hero calls $2.50, BB folds
Flop: ($7) J
7 9 (2 players)Hero bets $4.95, MP calls $4.95
Turn: ($16.90) 2
(2 players)Hero bets $12.05, MP calls $12.05
River: ($41) K
(2 players)Hero bets $22, MP raises to $69,
Spoiler:
Flop:
- Villain fails at Cbetting and is playing pretty straightforward. I donkbet thinking he would raise twopair+ on the flop a vast portion of the time and I could quickly stack off. He would flat a great number of straight draws, and I've seen him float gutshots.
Note: Not sure if he would raise or flat an overpair, nor if he would bet-fold facing a check raise instead.
Flop okay?
Turn: Pretty much plays itself.
River:
I considered an 8, T, or K as my only scare cards (not the T as much). Is it okay to assume that, since he's pot controlling on the turn, it's rather unlikely he's value-raising worse here? KJ is basically the only worse hand that improves that could consider value-raising, but he didn't tank at all before the raise. I figured he most likely would just flat two pair, and if he raised would likely have to go into the tank for a few seconds.
And because of his fishy tendencies, I assumed I wouldn't be facing many airballs in his river raising range...
Is this a bet-call, or is a bet-fold okay here?