Open Side Menu Go to the Top
Register
Call the river shove? Call the river shove?

10-30-2009 , 04:38 PM
8-game mix. No reads on Villain in any game, I think his range is pretty polarized to bluffs and sets, or maybe 78. I thought 9T is possible because he obviously can't check thinking he has showdown value. Thoughts?
Poker Stars $0.50/$1 No Limit Hold'em - 6 players - View hand 346750
The Official DeucesCracked.com Hand History Converter

Hero (BTN): $101.25
SB: $101.65
BB: $48.45
UTG: $137.85
MP: $140.60
CO: $99.30

Pre Flop: ($1.50) Hero is BTN with A A
3 folds, Hero raises to $3, SB calls $2.50, 1 fold

Flop: ($7.00) 8 Q 7 (2 players)
SB checks, Hero bets $5, SB raises to $15, Hero calls $10

Turn: ($37.00) T (2 players)
SB bets $21, Hero calls $21

River: ($79.00) 4 (2 players)
SB bets $61, Hero ?
10-30-2009 , 05:00 PM
I'd ship the flop. Or call and ship the turn. As played, I probably still call the river but it's pretty close.
10-30-2009 , 05:05 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by RainbowBright
I'd ship the flop. Or call and ship the turn. As played, I probably still call the river but it's pretty close.
this... as played, your hand is pretty underrepped and he could definitely be value shoving AQ here...
10-30-2009 , 05:08 PM
my first thought was this is AQ a lot
10-30-2009 , 05:32 PM
Fold
Imo, he knows if you have Q - your prob not folding so he wouldnt bluff 3 streets. AQ would be only exception but i doubt it.
Flop call is fine cause he might continue bluff turn - but def. not river. So, fold
10-30-2009 , 07:28 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by whorasaurus
my first thought was this is AQ a lot
Don't people 3 bet AQ vs button raise? This guy might not but we still have to discount it don't we?
10-30-2009 , 08:35 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by List
Don't people 3 bet AQ vs button raise? This guy might not but we still have to discount it don't we?
alot of ppl dont always 3bet AQ even vs BTN. he could be slowplaying it pf and therefore overplaying his top pair which he considers to be the nuts. i ship the flop
10-30-2009 , 09:01 PM
wow the blind leading the blind ITT
10-30-2009 , 10:06 PM
This is closer than it appears to be. If villain fires three times on this board its time to wonder if your overpair is good. I shove the turn because his range is wider there and I really don't want to see another card. If he's behind there are many scarecards that will destroy your possibilities to valuebet the river.

Also this is blind vs blind and you just flatted his flopraise. You've underrepped your hand, which means that villain is probably liking the KQ/AQ hands in his range here.

As played after the T and the flushdraw completing, we have to ask ourselves what villain van valuebet here. I assume you are not a donkey who stacks off with weak top pairs, so I'd say this is a fold considering the fact that his range has to be pretty strong here.

Oh yeah final note. I can't really think of any flop semi-bluffs that are turning a missed draw into a bluff on the river.
10-30-2009 , 10:44 PM
i fold this river pretty quickly
1: we have no reason to think he's out of line
2: RAAAAAAAAAAARELY value betting worse
3: very probable he has a set
4: at 100NL ppl just dont bluff raise these boards that often
5: if he was bluffing with hearts on flop, he continued on turn, and got there on river

      
m