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AA squeeze vs minraise turn huge pot AA squeeze vs minraise turn huge pot

08-28-2013 , 11:11 AM
Villain 33-26-11.4 . Fold to 3bet : 43 4bet : 28.6 open CO : 28% Totsteal : 43. Hands : 230
My problem in that hand is I do not see any bluff in his range otherwise it would be extremely good/bad played. and he showed some missplayed hands before so I don't expect him to be a winning player.

So is it possible to play that a better way?


    Party, $0.25/$0.50 No Limit Hold'em Cash, 6 Players
    Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite. View Hand #19127332

    MP: $60.74 (121.5 bb)
    UTG: $36 (72 bb)
    Hero (SB): $104.17 (208.3 bb)
    BTN: $15.20 (30.4 bb)
    CO: $97.35 (194.7 bb)
    BB: $100.09 (200.2 bb)

    Preflop: Hero is SB with A A
    2 folds, CO raises to $1.50, BTN calls $1.50, Hero raises to $6, BB folds, CO calls $4.50, BTN calls $4.50

    Flop: ($18.50) 4 3 K (3 players)
    Hero bets $12, CO calls $12, BTN folds

    Turn: ($42.50) 5 (2 players)
    Hero bets $25, CO raises to $58.50,
    Spoiler:
    Hero folds

    Results: $92.50 pot ($4 rake)
    Final Board: 4 3 K 5
    Hero mucked A A and lost (-$43 net)
    CO mucked and won $88.50 ($45.50 net)



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    08-28-2013 , 11:44 AM
    I know it seems "logical" that you "must be beat," but I don't think it's safe to go on bet/folding so liberally. You've got 3/4 of all the money between the two of you in there, and now you're going to fold on a pretty darn good turn card, getting 3 to 1, where you more than likely have outs if you're behind.

    Basically, I don't know how you expect villain to do anything else but raise if he's going to continue with the hand, i.e. NOT fold, where raising is effectively the same thing as calling - considering the amount that's behind relative to the bet and the pot.

    If you're always bet/folding here, you're betting folding WAY too much and playing way too tight, and exploitably. In that case, if villain is aware, he might as well peel lots of flops against you, and then simply shove over your turn bets with all of his hands (semi-bluffs and showdown value), since it'll be more profitable than just restricting himself to sets and turned [completed] draws. And why stop there? If you'll bet fold there for that price, then any hand may be profitable. Might as well even start raising flops, too, occasionally, since it's another opportunity for you to abandon the hand.

    In fact, as a consequence, a thoroughly exploitive and aggressive counter-strategy (though exhaustively exaggerated) would entail villain just calling flops with almost all of his hands (he'll bluff-raise occasionally). And, OTT, he'll shove over with all of his semi-bluffs, pure bluffs, and all of his showdown bound hands (that may or may not call the river; it's even better if he shoves the latter now). Finally, he'll put the rest in if you don't OTR with his nutted hands and monsters. That's about as exploitive as it gets.
    08-28-2013 , 11:51 AM
    I would squeeze HUGE not because I'm scared to play AA but I believe his F3 goes even lower when it's a squeeze situation and his F3 is already very low.

    Also, we are deep so he'd be willing to call even more so because of implied odds involved.
    08-28-2013 , 02:06 PM
    ty!
    08-28-2013 , 06:16 PM
    Re ship
    08-29-2013 , 09:57 AM
    5x it pre

    less on flop, ~1/2 pot

    3bet AI on turn

          
    m