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[100NL] JJ, bluff catching on paired board? [100NL] JJ, bluff catching on paired board?

01-27-2008 , 07:00 PM
No stats or reads on villain.

Poker Stars $0.50/$1.00 No Limit Hold'em - 5 players
The Official 2+2 Hand Converter Powered By DeucesCracked.com

BB: $84.70
UTG: $380.90
Hero (CO): $104.95
BTN: $98.50
SB: $106.00

Pre Flop: Hero is CO with J J
1 fold, Hero raises to $4, 1 fold, SB calls $3.50, BB calls $3

Flop: ($12.00) 5 K T (3 players)
SB checks, BB checks, Hero bets $8, SB folds, BB calls $8

Turn: ($28.00) T (2 players)
BB checks, Hero checks

River: ($28.00) 8 (2 players)
BB bets $15, Hero ...
01-27-2008 , 07:03 PM
yeah, why not... you only have to be good like 33% of the time
01-27-2008 , 07:11 PM
Id call that one, every draw missed (flush, straight) id call this one fo sho
01-27-2008 , 07:11 PM
Seems pretty close to break even. He's almost never valuebetting a worse hand here, but I think he could be bluffing about 1/3 of time. I probably call this without any read, because of the KT and two diamonds.
01-27-2008 , 09:37 PM
How about here?

No stats or reads on villain.


Poker Stars $0.50/$1.00 No Limit Hold'em - 6 players
The Official 2+2 Hand Converter Powered By DeucesCracked.com

Hero (UTG): $117.50
MP: $121.15
CO: $135.85
BTN: $19.90
SB: $99.00
BB: $85.25

Pre Flop: Hero is UTG with J J
Hero raises to $4, 1 fold, CO calls $4, 1 fold, SB calls $3.50, 1 fold

Flop: ($13.00) 5 Q 7 (3 players)
SB checks, Hero bets $9, CO calls $9, SB folds

Turn: ($31.00) T (2 players)
Hero checks, CO checks

River: ($31.00) A (2 players)
Hero checks, CO bets $19, Hero ...
01-27-2008 , 09:42 PM
1st call, 2nd fold
01-27-2008 , 09:43 PM
Would the 2nd hand be a call if the 3rd heart didn't fall?
01-27-2008 , 10:10 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Mhaz
How about here?

No stats or reads on villain.


Poker Stars $0.50/$1.00 No Limit Hold'em - 6 players
The Official 2+2 Hand Converter Powered By DeucesCracked.com

Hero (UTG): $117.50
MP: $121.15
CO: $135.85
BTN: $19.90
SB: $99.00
BB: $85.25

Pre Flop: Hero is UTG with J J
Hero raises to $4, 1 fold, CO calls $4, 1 fold, SB calls $3.50, 1 fold

Flop: ($13.00) 5 Q 7 (3 players)
SB checks, Hero bets $9, CO calls $9, SB folds

Turn: ($31.00) T (2 players)
Hero checks, CO checks

River: ($31.00) A (2 players)
Hero checks, CO bets $19, Hero ...
Any merit to leading the river, or does that turn our hand into a bluff?
01-28-2008 , 01:32 AM
bump
01-28-2008 , 01:36 AM
I'd call both.

second hand is closer,
but he's not really repping much outside of Ax 2pair.
01-28-2008 , 03:05 AM
I call the first, if nothing else this a great hand to get a firm read on the type of player he is, plus you only have to be good 1/3

Second I dont think can be a call w/o history, but what about a raise on river or a bet on turn? im not sure either of these is a great option but how else do you win the hand unless he calls you with a strange straight draw on flop? I used to always check behind a turn card like this but ultimately this is too weak and does not exploit our position enough, while that might not even be a standard play it is necessary to throw it into your arsenal
01-28-2008 , 03:16 AM
1st call only for info imo
2nd izi fold
01-28-2008 , 03:26 AM
First one is close. Draws missed but he's not value betting worse hands - a call can't be bad, you'll learn something. His bet sizing sure looks like he wants a call, though, so I wouldn't hate a fold either. Marginal spot imo.

In the second hand, I'd fold.

      
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