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too tight on river? too tight on river?

03-10-2021 , 04:11 PM
Let me know what you think on the river. Bet for value or check it in case villain has full house? No history with SB and figure his or her range can be a rundown based on the calls made on flop and turn.

PokerStars - $0.10 PL Hi FAST (6 max) - Omaha Hi - 6 players


BTN: $7.62
SB: $42.20
BB: $24.34
Hero (UTG): $14.67
MP: $7.01
CO: $7.79

SB posts SB $0.05, BB posts BB $0.10

Pre Flop: (pot: $0.15) Hero has A Q K 2

Hero raises to $0.35, fold, fold, BTN calls $0.35, SB calls $0.30, fold

Flop: ($1.15, 3 players) 6 T 8
SB checks, Hero bets $0.66, BTN calls $0.66, SB calls $0.66

Turn: ($3.13, 3 players) 9
SB checks, Hero bets $2.00, fold, SB calls $2.00

River: ($7.13, 2 players) T
SB checks,
Spoiler:
Hero checks


Hero wins $6.83
too tight on river? Quote
03-10-2021 , 04:22 PM
Check flop, not a good flop for our range and would hate to get raised. I think having Qh and not blocking any pairs this is a check on river.
too tight on river? Quote
03-10-2021 , 06:00 PM
Cardiff is probably right concerning the lack of blockers.
Other side of that coin though is that
A: at low stakes people tend to pay off value bets that they probably shouldn't so I would not be surprised if you bet say 2-3$ sb might find a call here with a non nut flush, straight, or even a naked 10 really
B: at low stakes it seems very rare that someone would check raise bluff you here. So if I did bet 2-3$ on this river and he jammed on me I'd have no reservations about folding, being convinced he had a boat. But the extra couple bucks you'll get in value will probably outpace the couple you lose when they do check raise you. Though it sucks having to fold knowing you could have checked and got to showdown.
too tight on river? Quote
03-10-2021 , 06:53 PM
Note that 87 is the nuts and fits the rundown read, and might well be played this way. Also most good rundowns made a FH.

Also note that villain has 400bb, so we should have some idea how he's playing. I also wouldn't assume he plays the same way as population given stack size.

In a void going for thin value with reads you won't get bluffed is fine, but if people take notes it can go bad esp. given a 1/2 pot bet on river looks a lot like a good flush.
too tight on river? Quote
03-12-2021 , 05:55 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by CardiffGiant
Check flop, not a good flop for our range and would hate to get raised. I think having Qh and not blocking any pairs this is a check on river.
Nice and concise.
too tight on river? Quote
03-12-2021 , 08:01 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by CardiffGiant
I think having Qh and not blocking any pairs this is a check on river.
Just to be sure, having the Q makes us lean towards checking because it takes away one of the hands (Q-high flush) that they might call a river bet with?
too tight on river? Quote
03-13-2021 , 05:04 AM
Yes.
too tight on river? Quote

      
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