edit: bolted is mistake!
A9TJds vs AA, thought I was making profit by 3betting small, since it's on 10PLO and people don't adjust by 4betting light, 4bet = Aces. But now I see I'm making a small loss with 3betting 9x AND calling the 4b?
I took 3.5bb rake.
100bb eff
V1 raise 3x
Hero raise 9x
V2 raise 31.5x
Stack flop = 68.5bb
Pot flop = 64.5bb
1/(1+((68.5+64.5)/68.5))
Equity treshold on flop = .3268
Code:
select count(equity(hero, flop) >= 0.3268) as threshold
from game="omahahi", hero="AsTs9hJh", player2="AA"
Result: 56.79%
Code:
select avg(equity(hero, river)) as rivereq
from game="omahahi", hero="AsTs9hJh", player2="AA"
where equity(hero, flop) >= 0.3268
Result: 0.56
(1 - .568 ) * [S]
(-31.5)[S] (-22.5) + .568 ((.56 * 198) - 91 )
-9.72 + 11.3 = + 1.58bb
Do you guys think it's worth it looking for such small edges in a Variance-kind a way? Stupid question right?
I took 3.5x rake, but is probably around 11~12bb. So option could be 3betting to like 8bb or something, but that's kinda gay imo. Thoughts?
Last edited by MaartenG1337; 08-23-2012 at 06:17 AM.
Reason: Mistake found ldo