Quote:
Originally Posted by F_Ivanovic
Right but you only play big pots if the blinds are calling. I feel when you make it 3.5x the calling range is significantly tighter and you and end up being 3b more comparatively (to their calling range) - so overall you're playing less big pots in position.
I think the main concern should be EV, rather than imperfect measures such as ratios of 3-bets to calls or how often we play pots in position.
So, the basics we're all aware of, which I'll restate to appropriately frame later paragraphs: if the SB and BB fold to your open, you gain 1.5 bb. You also gain 1.5 bb (well a bit less due to rake), if the SB folds and the BB defends with a hand that is neutral EV from their own reference point.
It follows that if the difference in two BB strategies, 14% 3-bet and 44% call compared to 12% 3-bet and 55% call*, is mostly a difference in a lot of hands that are fringe calls/folds for the BB, the overall EV could remain quite similar, even if the ratio of 3-betting to calling is quite different. For example, the first range could make up for fewer of those fringe calls that pick up a fraction of a bb here and there by doing better with 3-bets.
What I expect against hypercompetent play -- like recreations of solver sims, in a dystopia where multiway preflop is accurately solved -- is that a 3 bb open would be really close in EV terms to a 3.5 bb open, because all players would adjust strategies for those sizes appropriately, and the "trade-offs" (when converted from raw EVs and frequencies to human language) would more or less cancel each other out. I have no basis for that except intuition, so I wouldn't put too much stock in it, but a similar dynamic can be spotted in solutions for postflop spots -- differences in bet sizes matter a lot less than one might expect, as long as ranges can be calibrated with the backing of so many CPU iterations.
I'd suspect that there isn't a fundamental reason to prefer either 3 bb or 3.5 bb in a rakeless game, and that preference in actual play should be rooted in exploitative play, which can vary across different games and scenarios. With the existence of rake and assumptions of decent play, it does seem 3.5 bb (coupled with a lower opening frequency) would be better, since more hands end without a rake drop.
*The numbers chosen are more or less arbitrary, not meant to be interpreted as defense frequencies against these open sizes.
Last edited by Rei Ayanami; 06-19-2018 at 11:18 AM.