Quote:
Originally Posted by MartinK1979
Flop: I put villian on AAxx, AJxx Jxxx or somethings like that and was sure I am in front at this kind of flop...
Why? I would include JJxx, 44xx as well (for example, 5644 is a hand that a Villain such as you decribe might have). And hands like 7654, 7653 etc. EDIT: Ok, with 9% 3B I maybe gave him a too wide 3B range here.
Villian potting on this board against three players - of whom two are in for their whole stack (more or less) if they call - is almost never a bluff. I think that your best case scenario is AAxx. Against other AJxx/Jxxx you have decent equity, but you are in a ****ty spot anyway since you have no good options on the flop.
1) Folding two pair is weak against such a Villain, but on a board like this with no redraws it might actually be the best play since you are otherwise playing a 700BB pot with top and bottom, which is rarely a good idea.
2) Calling sucks even more. If you call, you are OOP in a huge pot. If you donk the turn, Villian will most likely only fold the very rare bluffs, but get it in with all other hands where the equity against your two pair ranges from "okay" to "great". Checking the turn will not work either, since Villian will bet all of his range and by now, your hand might be completely crushed (again, without redraws). Check-folding? In that case, better fold flop.
3) Re-raising all-in. Villain will fold some rare bluffs, but in most cases you are playing a 700BB pot with top and bottom without any real redraws and with an equity that is around 40%, or so (I do not have access to an equity calculator at this moment, so if I am wrong, please correct me, but I think that equity against a reasonable range is somewhere around 35-40%).
And last but not least, my main consideration for not wanting to get it in is actually connected to stack sizes. Consider for a while the implications of losing this pot - you are back to a 100BB stack, which greatly reduces both future equity against Villian and your manoeuvrability. If this was a live game with uncapped buyin, and I was properly bankrolled and had the cash available to rebuy for 700BB if I lost, then I would be much more inclined to gamble it up.
Last edited by ReGen; 11-13-2017 at 08:24 AM.