PLO10 Zoom, Are We Good Often Enough?
03-08-2018
, 03:20 AM
We need to be good a small amount of time on the river here, but are we ever good often enough?
Poker Stars, $0.05/$0.10 No Limit Omaha Cash, 6 Players
Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite. View Hand #37932216
Hero (BTN): $46.50 (465 bb)
SB: $17.83 (178.3 bb)
BB: $10 (100 bb)
UTG: $9.85 (98.5 bb)
MP: $9.34 (93.4 bb)
CO: $12.09 (120.9 bb)
Preflop: Hero is BTN with 9
Q T
K
UTG raises to $0.30, 2 folds, Hero raises to $1.05, SB folds, BB calls $0.95, UTG calls $0.75
Flop: ($3.20) 8
4 2 (3 players)
BB checks, UTG checks, Hero bets $1, BB folds, UTG calls $1
I have been experimenting with smaller c-bets (but at a high frequency) lately, with mixed results.
Turn: ($5.20) J (2 players)
UTG checks, Hero bets $3, UTG calls $3
I feel that this is a must-bet turn card, since my hand just turned into a monster draw. What about turn sizing? Is it worth betting smaller (something like 2 USD?) to keep the stack size a bit closer to pot on the river if called? Of course, I bet with the intention of calling any shove.
River: ($11.20) 7 (2 players)
UTG bets $4.80 and is all-in
Are we ever good often enough here? Pot odds are great but barring some random spaz or some messed up slowplay of 88xx, it sure smells like a flush.
Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite. View Hand #37932216
Hero (BTN): $46.50 (465 bb)
SB: $17.83 (178.3 bb)
BB: $10 (100 bb)
UTG: $9.85 (98.5 bb)
MP: $9.34 (93.4 bb)
CO: $12.09 (120.9 bb)
Preflop: Hero is BTN with 9
Q T KUTG raises to $0.30, 2 folds, Hero raises to $1.05, SB folds, BB calls $0.95, UTG calls $0.75
Flop: ($3.20) 8
4 2 (3 players)BB checks, UTG checks, Hero bets $1, BB folds, UTG calls $1
I have been experimenting with smaller c-bets (but at a high frequency) lately, with mixed results.
Turn: ($5.20) J
(2 players)UTG checks, Hero bets $3, UTG calls $3
I feel that this is a must-bet turn card, since my hand just turned into a monster draw. What about turn sizing? Is it worth betting smaller (something like 2 USD?) to keep the stack size a bit closer to pot on the river if called? Of course, I bet with the intention of calling any shove.
River: ($11.20) 7
(2 players)UTG bets $4.80 and is all-in
Are we ever good often enough here? Pot odds are great but barring some random spaz or some messed up slowplay of 88xx, it sure smells like a flush.
03-08-2018
, 08:34 AM
03-14-2018
, 09:23 PM
03-14-2018
, 11:12 PM
Let's assume villain shoves any str8 and any clubs, and given flop/turn action has all of them on the river (probably more true for cc than the str8s but w/e) ... then we'll add in 88 for random plo10 spew:
Hint: 15.7% < 23%
Bigger hint: As UTG pre. range goes down, so does your river equity.
| ProPokerTools Omaha Hi Simulation |
| 9,763 trials (Exhaustive) |
| board: 842J7 |
| Hand | Pot equity | Wins | Ties |
|---|---|---|---|
| KdQhTd9h | 15.71% | 1,029 | 1,010 |
| (65,T9,88,cc):20% | 84.29% | 7,724 | 1,010 |
Hint: 15.7% < 23%
Bigger hint: As UTG pre. range goes down, so does your river equity.