Bad title, and yeh there are a lot of reasons why villain has a random 3 here.
Quote:
Originally Posted by SocraticGambler
have a pretty good feel on that flop that you will only get called by wraps
When ranges get wider there are less wraps, and way more J4/J3/43 hands. So you really think everyone just snap folds two pair (even as bad as 43 hands they called pre. with) on J43r?
Turn, in theory villain can be semi bluffing with straight+diamonds and maybe even didn't notice it was a 2nd 3. Other obvious candidates are that he has a draw with a 3 or made FH with 44/J3/43.
River what is villain bluffing with Jd6d54/AdJ6d5? Is he overvaluing AAd65d or 44 hands? And I don't see how his range isn't full of 3 hands. Of course I remember close to 100% of the hands where I knew he had quads and called anyway, and much less of them where I called and villain had 44.
If I'm as tired as you suggest I probably shrug call GTO. If I'm playing small stakes against friends also more likely to just shrug and call for a good story.