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less inclined to squeeze vs low three bettors? less inclined to squeeze vs low three bettors?

01-09-2021 , 12:09 PM
So today I played a quick pLO $50 zoom session (really quick, I forgot my coffee was ready so only played 70 hands, still managed to lose two buyins lol). Anyway, one hand I squeezed As5s9d8d vs MP and SB (I was BB obv). I was "blind" at the time, as HM2 was still loading, but long story short SB had aces, we ended up getting it in three ways when I tried to four bet isolate. Here is the whole hand history.


Poker Stars, $0.25/$0.50 No Limit Omaha Cash, 6 Players
Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite.

SB: $41.80 (83.6 bb)
Hero (BB): $50 (100 bb)
UTG: $50 (100 bb)
MP: $56.61 (113.2 bb)
CO: $55.50 (111 bb)
BTN: $50 (100 bb)

Preflop: Hero is BB with 8d 5s As 9d
UTG folds, MP raises to $1.75, 2 folds, SB calls $1.50, Hero raises to $7, MP calls $5.25, SB raises to $28, Hero raises to $50 and is all-in, MP raises to $56.61 and is all-in, SB calls $13.80 and is all-in

Flop: ($141.80) Ks 7h 7s (3 players, 3 are all-in)
Turn: ($141.80) 2h (3 players, 3 are all-in)
River: ($141.80) Qh (3 players, 3 are all-in)

Results: $141.80 pot ($2.00 rake)
Final Board: Ks 7h 7s 2h Qh
SB showed 4c Ad Ac Qs and won $123.40 ($81.60 net)
Hero showed 8d 5s As 9d and lost (-$50 net)
MP showed 8c Jc Tc Ts and won $16.40 (-$33.60 net)






ANYWAY, SB (25/17/2.7/1.2) has a 1.2% three bet percentage, over 225 hands, so my question is do you think it is a reasonable heuristic to squeeze less when the caller has a low three bet percentage, since they are more likely to flat aces. And are there any other stats you look at when determining whether to squeeze or flat certain hands.
less inclined to squeeze vs low three bettors? Quote
01-09-2021 , 04:08 PM
I think the squeeze is a little too loose, but honestly not by a ton. I think you want better connectivity here. It doesn't help that SB's flatting range is going to be so strong.

I hate to put it in such absolute terms, but SB just kind of always has AA once they reraise. My instinct is to call and see if we flop well enough to race (wouldn't take much), but I wouldn't be shocked if folding is best. With another player left to act, the proposition gets a bit unappetizing at some point, but I'm honestly not mega confident about any of this.
less inclined to squeeze vs low three bettors? Quote
01-10-2021 , 08:32 PM
Doesn't seem too bad to me.

I think people can flat some KK and decide it f it, hard to play, let's get it in.

I mean I think KK does something back raise here, not too sure.
less inclined to squeeze vs low three bettors? Quote
01-10-2021 , 08:43 PM
Monker sqzs, fwiw. we do however flat the backraise, but never fold pre.
less inclined to squeeze vs low three bettors? Quote
01-11-2021 , 03:48 AM
Its more relevant knowing what percentage of hands sb is flatting with such a low 3! but would not reallly overthink this spot - on balance sb being tight should probably make this squeeze even more profitable.

Based on game dynamics, flatting is still an option.
less inclined to squeeze vs low three bettors? Quote
01-19-2021 , 10:42 AM
Hey guys...i had a quick question about this situation.
Is just flatting pre flop ok in this spot?
less inclined to squeeze vs low three bettors? Quote
01-19-2021 , 10:45 AM
Not reaaally, but if you have a justification of a certain magnitude sure.
less inclined to squeeze vs low three bettors? Quote

      
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