AJJ99ss
07-16-2021
, 01:43 PM
07-16-2021
, 03:40 PM
200 effective at 1/2 plo5 is basically raked $200 flips.
After the 3bet you have like 40% HU and 30% 3 ways. So obviously we "have" to call, and we'll often flop enough equity we need to get it all in (vs. 10% range we have 33% equity like 50%). gg.
In a vacuum checking to raiser on this flop is probably bad, as any bet commits them (if they don't feel so already).
I think we probably want to just donk pot, although given how wide we are pre. BTN should just shrug call all his QQ+ hands. Assuming BTN just shrug pots anything that hit we are flipping:
...but hopefully we get AKQ to fold, and it balances out a little bit when we have good hands.
TL;DR:
After the 3bet you have like 40% HU and 30% 3 ways. So obviously we "have" to call, and we'll often flop enough equity we need to get it all in (vs. 10% range we have 33% equity like 50%). gg.
In a vacuum checking to raiser on this flop is probably bad, as any bet commits them (if they don't feel so already).
I think we probably want to just donk pot, although given how wide we are pre. BTN should just shrug call all his QQ+ hands. Assuming BTN just shrug pots anything that hit we are flipping:
| ProPokerTools 5-Card Omaha Hi Simulation |
| 600,000 trials (Randomized) |
board: T 8 3 |
| Hand | Pot equity | Wins | Ties |
|---|---|---|---|
| AhJhJc9h9s | 48.90% | 288,321 | 10,161 |
| (AA,KK,QQ,T,8,3,J9,97):10% | 51.10% | 301,518 | 10,161 |
...but hopefully we get AKQ to fold, and it balances out a little bit when we have good hands.
TL;DR:
| ProPokerTools 5-Card Omaha Hi Simulation |
| 998,127 trials (Exhaustive) |
| board: T83 |
| Hand | Pot equity | Wins | Ties |
|---|---|---|---|
| AhJhJc9h9s | 48.59% | 348,564 | 272,784 |
| (JJ):10% | 51.41% | 376,779 | 272,784 |
