PokerStars Zoom, Omaha Pot Limit - $0.02/$0.05 - 6 players
Replay this hand on Upswing Poker

UTG: $5.16 (103 bb)
MP: $5.76 (115 bb)
CO: $4.91 (98 bb)
BU: $11.12 (222 bb)
SB (Hero): $17.15 (343 bb)
BB: $7.03 (141 bb)

Pre-Flop: ($0.07) Hero is SB with 2♠ A♥ J♥ A♣
3 players fold, BTN raises to $0.17, Hero 3-bets to $0.56, 1 fold, BTN calls $0.39

Flop: ($1.17) Q♥ 5♥ 5♠ (2 players)
Hero bets $0.56, BTN raises to $1.70, Hero calls $1.14

Turn: ($4.57) T♦ (2 players)
Hero checks, BTN bets $2.35, Hero calls $2.35

River: ($9.27) 8♥ (2 players)
Hero checks, BTN bets $6.51 (all-in), Hero ?


Don't know what to think about this raise on the flop. It would just be too straightforward for QQ. Calldowned the rest in hope to run into naked 5x

People do play incredibly straightforward. I would expect to see 5xxx or better about 85%+ of the time. The other times, somebody might try to bluff you off AA, which is a terrible idea, because AA goes to showdown on paired boards the vast majority of the time, even when it's basically never good.
You are 222BB deep effective. This may get V. to bluff OTF, but I doubt he's gonna keep doing it OTT and OTR.

That being said: fold flop, fold turn and fold river. V. is so much more likely to be valuebetting a boat, than he is to bluff with a flushdraw or turn trips into a bluff on the river. Assuming so gives V. way too much credit for creative plays the majority of players won't even consider. Even if it happens every once in a blue moon, it's not happening often enough to justify putting 200+ BB in.

ProPokerTools Omaha Hi Simulation

600,000 trials (Randomized)

board: Q 5 5

Hand	Pot equity	Wins	Ties
Ah Jh Ac 2s	26.56%	159,216	228
5:50%	73.45%	440,556	228

ProPokerTools Omaha Hi Simulation

429,160 trials (Exhaustive)

board: Q 5 5 T

Hand	Pot equity	Wins	Ties
Ah Jh Ac 2s	16.89%	72,050	885
5:50%	83.11%	356,225	885

IMO near mandatory flop X on paired board. We are not getting 3 streets from worse and it's nice to have some nfd's in our X'ing range. There's just no real reason to cbet this.

Folding flop is absurd, sorry but wtf?
I am calling turn as well readless, I agree pop tendencies will have boats a fair amount but I still don't think we can fold for this price. We don't just have NFD we also have outs to the supernuts on an A river.
River we can fold vs. population imo.

Really don't like the flop cb sizing.. Smaller imo