Ok, so I'm the Villain, not the hero, and the Villain ended up calling and winning the pot. So I was wondering if I should bet the river or give up.
PokerStars - $0.50 PL Hi FAST (6 max) - Omaha Hi - 6 players
Hand converted by PokerTracker 4
BTN: 130.2 BB
SB: 158.82 BB
BB: 100.82 BB
UTG: 83.6 BB
MP: 363.8 BB
Hero (CO): 166.48 BB
SB posts SB 0.5 BB, BB posts BB 1 BB
Pre Flop: (pot: 1.5 BB) Hero has Q
6
K
Q
fold,
fold,
Hero raises to 3.5 BB,
BTN calls 3.5 BB, SB calls 3 BB,
fold
Flop: (11.5 BB, 3 players) 5
J
2
SB checks,
Hero checks,
BTN bets 5.46 BB,
fold,
Hero calls 5.46 BB
Turn: (22.42 BB, 2 players) 4
Hero checks,
BTN bets 12 BB,
Hero raises to 57.3 BB,
BTN calls 45.3 BB
River: (137.02 BB, 2 players) 7
Hero bets 100.22 BB and is all-in,
BTN calls 63.94 BB and is all-in
Hero shows Q
6
K
Q
(One Pair, Queens)
(Pre 61%, Flop 74%, Turn 80%)
BTN shows 5
8
9
7
(Two Pair, Sevens and Fives)
(Pre 39%, Flop 26%, Turn 20%)
BTN wins 260.9 BB
I could've probably played it differently. But my question is, do we bet this river 100%? I expect him to call with only 678x (maybe some 68xx with diamonds and spades, but I have the 6 of spade), because I expect him to raise every other made hand on the turn.
Is 68xx a small enough portion of his range that we can bet this river profitably? We're betting 64bbs to win 137bbs. In other words we need to win somewhere around 47%, right?
Last edited by Omaha90; 11-21-2017 at 02:29 PM.