Quote:
Originally Posted by RalphWaldoEmerson
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so we should pile 200bbs w/marginal hand bc we make folding mistakes on turns when we xc? bs
I don't really think it's a difficult spot on turns, if we don't improve and he continues betting, I think it's a clear fold at these stakes, we not playing 500z, and we have other hands like KQJT etc. that can defend.
but yeah if we xrai all our medium strong equity holdings such as this on flop, then we certainly WILL have a tough time on turns
It's not that the turn folds are hard to make, it's that we punt a lot of equity when we make those folds.
We have 40% equity on flop against a reasonable shoving range
Hand | Pot equity | Wins | Ties |
---|
AdAhKhQs | 41.82% | 3,302,001 | 48,875 |
89xx, KQJT, JJxx, TTxx | 58.18% | 4,603,944 | 48,875 |
I'm not thrilled about getting it in, but I'd rather get it in and realize our equity than fold on turns.
To be clear, I'm not advocating for c/rai, but bet/call for the reasons I stated above.
Also fwiw, KQJT barely outperforms our hand here. We add 4 boat outs but lose 4 straight outs, so only better when villain has clubs.