Results: $254.32 pot ($1 rake)
Final Board: 4 6 5 9 3
BB showed 2 Q 5 A and won $253.32 ($126.16 net)
Hero mucked 4 9 T T and lost (-$127.16 net)
I didn't see many showdowns so couldn't deduce much about villain.
How should I construct my call range on river?
I have a hypothesis J/T high flushes + made hands with A are better calls than K/Q high flushes. Does that seem logical?
I went through the trouble of running this in a solver and it turns out T9cc is a 100% call on river. K high flush had a higher call EV than T high flush. So you're correct on that front.
How should I construct my call range on river?
I have a hypothesis J/T high flushes + made hands with A are better calls than K/Q high flushes. Does that seem logical?
Since you ran this through solver, my guess is that Ac bluff catchers are worse than any flush because removing Ac cuts down on his bluffing range. All flushes are certainly calls on river. Also, flush value should be linear in relation to the high card with possible deviation of 3-4 club hands.
I went through the trouble of running this in a solver and it turns out T9cc is a 100% call on river. K high flush had a higher call EV than T high flush. So you're correct on that front.
Intuitively this seems really odd. I feel like if this is 100% river call here, the solver must be floating the turn barrel pretty light. As a practical matter, I think both players ranges for getting to the river like this are too strong for this hand to be a call.
It's HU, it snaps off 4flush river with most flushes?
Not a solver guy, but I think this is a special case because bb's cbet frequency on the 654 texture is likely going to be a fair bit lower than the average frequency for mono flops. Plus half of your 10-high flush combos also contain nut blockers.
We have a MDF of 67%, 60% and 50% on each street = 20% of our preflop range.
Which means we need to call ALL of our flushes here plus a ton of straights (all the 8 highs, most of the 7 highs), and even then, we still need to find more hands to call with.
we have position and > 100bb deep - you shouldn't be folding almost any hand you open with - maybe 5% at most. Stuff like J552r is a fold, not this hand.