Quote:
Originally Posted by DumbosTrunk
I’m talking raw preflop all in equity, not postflop playability, when there are multiple all ins ahead of us from players very likely blocking each other and we are estimating the card distribution of the remaining cards in the deck. The comments you make about postflop and implied odds are sorta besides the point.
Sorry Dumbo, i'm in a combative mood today but you are also tripping.
Equities run close in 5 card. 76544ds is an equity dog vs any random hand.
3w vs 2 top 10% hands it is still last place. Basically, its almost impossible to correctly identify situations where you are getting it in as a pre-flop equity favorite unless you know 2 other players have exactly the same big pair. Which is still useful to a limited extent.
To be more specific 9 handed, 2 players will be dealt aa at the same time about 1.3 times in 100 hands, which might translate to once every 4 or 5 hours on average in a live session.
I just ran about 10 sims with 76544ds against top 10-20% hands, and sometimes other random hands for reference. I post from phone so I can't copy them easily.
Knowing only 1 player has AAxxx in a 3w pot does not make your hand automatically profitable, even if the 2nd player is playing a respectable range, and i simmed that too.
I am willing to be proved wrong.
*simulating 4w+ pre-flop equity with manual ranges is really impractical so i avoided that, it takes both good tools and assumptions to do so that in a convincing way
Last edited by monikrazy; 01-08-2024 at 07:52 PM.