Quote:
Originally Posted by HeroOrZero
I guess knowing all this- is it either
A. Too nitty to not 3bet the river|
B. If he is bluffing per se- then he will fold to 3 bet-so less concerned about raising just in case he has AA which is reasonable.
My point being-should I be raising this river no matter what- and if he has Quads he has Quads and it is gross. Without blocking the 3, I would raise here more often. But, blocking the 3 and getting raised just felt so sick. Appreciate the tips from all-
Let's say villian can only have A3 and AA here and he started with a 10% range then there is a 75% chance he has AA here and not A3.
In fact:
AA!A3 = 75.9%
A3!AA = 16%
AA3 = 8.1%
We have 16% equity in this spot after villain raises. Depending on how often villain is capable of raising we are closer to folding this hand that we are to reraising. I could not ever fold this.
Raising accomplishes nothing here.
I ran another sim with 33 in his range and it doesn't change much - AA makes up SOOOOO much of an UTG raising range. Like 75% of the hands we raise UTG have AA in them.
Nice hand.
