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Thoughts on this river? Thoughts on this river?

10-01-2020 , 10:23 AM
[converted_hand][hand_history]Ignition - $0.50 PL Hi (6 max) - Omaha Hi - 3 players
Hand converted by Holdem Manager 3

Hero (SB): $112.45 (224.9 bb)
BB: $52.14 (104.3 bb)
BTN: $58.73 (117.5 bb)

Hero posts SB $0.25, BB posts $0.50

Pre Flop: (pot: $0.75) Hero has 8 A A K
BTN raises to $1.50, Hero raises to $5.00, fold, BTN calls $3.50

Flop: ($10.50, 2 players) 3 T 2
Hero bets $4.40, BTN calls $4.40

Turn: ($19.30, 2 players) 4
Hero bets $10.71, BTN calls $10.71

River: ($40.72, 2 players) 8
Hero checks, BTN bets $38.62 and is all-in,


let me know what you guys think of this spot villain was 29/26/2.8 over a small 70 hand sample
Thoughts on this river? Quote
10-01-2020 , 02:53 PM
You've seriously inflated this pot out of position and turned your hand into a bluff catcher. What did the river change in your betting btw, why show weakness now?
Thoughts on this river? Quote
10-01-2020 , 03:08 PM
Pot flop, as played fold river. Turn is one of those spots where we probably have an equity edge, but it's hard to realize so c/f might be correct.
Thoughts on this river? Quote
10-01-2020 , 09:34 PM
I would fold river as played but its not a good line that led there - given poor playability i think pot/call looks pretty good.

We can also consider some lines starting with check.
Thoughts on this river? Quote
10-01-2020 , 09:43 PM
This is a good situation. It looks like we want to pot the flop with virtually our whole range. We have a presumably quite large equity advantage (button is opening quite wide, but we are three betting only 9%, and our range is uncapped). So the primary concern here 100 bb deep is equity denial. Note the board texture. Even the BU's wide opening range does not connect well with 932. And he is wide, he will have a decent number of weak hands that have some equity but not enough to be comfortable continuing against pot, like JJT2 with one or two bd flush draws. He simply will not have many two pair or set, or even wrap.



(disclaimer, I used 932 but don't think there is a huge difference)
Thoughts on this river? Quote
10-01-2020 , 11:07 PM
As played, and probably after checking, we really have to check fold the turn. As a general rule, when the worst card in the deck shows up, you just give up the hand.
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10-02-2020 , 02:09 AM
Pot/gii flop. If i'm villain i'm floating you 100% here and betting turn/river always.
Thoughts on this river? Quote
10-02-2020 , 12:36 PM
pot flop - check on no flush draw / made small straight turn (BTN theoretically has more 56 than SB squeezer)
I think it's important to pot control on low and dry board like this on 3BP
Thoughts on this river? Quote
10-02-2020 , 06:02 PM
Quote:
BTN theoretically has more 56 than SB squeezer
SB / hero just three bet, they didn't squeeze (which is when you three bet after someone has called a raise cold), but I agree BTN should have substantially more 56 than hero. Actually, in vision on 932, after half pot call, SB actually has more 56. But half pot is a minor line, vision is predominantly betting pot 87% of the time, half potting only 8%. On the flop itself vision had 56 1.6% of the time as oop, whereas in position has it 6.6% of the time. After pot call vision has 56 0.7% of the time as SB, whereas button has it 3.4% of the time. So there will be a substantial polarity advantage for villain on the turn, which probably disincentives SB from betting large. Although vision still wants to pot 56% of the time on the turn, I guess because SPR is less than 1, and op's equity advantage from pre and on the flop probably carries over to the turn despite the polarity disadvantage.
Thoughts on this river? Quote

      
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