Quote:
Originally Posted by Munga30
I really hemmed and hawed over this despite not posting. Here's what I've settled on.
Passing up a street of action with the nuts doesn't meaningfully improve your chances to play for stacks at SPR 20. So bet the flop here and check when shallow enough that you exploitatively play for stacks more frequently with the nuts.
i think this is a reasonable argument and i don't necessarily disagree, but playing for stacks / not stacks seems like it may be an overly simple binary here, no? also, SPR with the fish is around 12, right? pot is 425 pre.
i do agree generally that the deeper we are here, the more likely we should be betting any hands containing the nut ace on the flop because of the pressure it exerts, when we have it and when we don't.
but more generally, what i mean is, if the goal is to get as much money as possible in the pot, then surely there are times where it will be nearly impossible to play for stacks - are we still betting flop 100% of the time in those instances? aren't there at least some combinations of players and boards where we may get more $ in by checking?
in this specific spot, i think it will be really difficult to get stacks in with the best hand by the river. fish is probably check-calling any worse flushes unless i check back at least one street, and the only way he calls all three streets and gets the money in is with exactly the 2nd nuts.