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***Small Stakes PLO BBV THREAD*** ***Small Stakes PLO BBV THREAD***

01-26-2009 , 09:41 AM
$0.5/$1 Pot Limit Omaha Hi
PokerStars
6 players
Converted at weaktight.com

Stacks:
UTG ($17.00)
Hero (UTG+1) ($105.00)
CO ($553.00)
BTN ($214.80)
SB ($115.15)
BB ($106.50)

Pre-flop: ($1.50, 6 players) Hero is UTG+1 6 9 7 6
1 fold, Hero raises to $3, CO calls $3, 2 folds, BB calls $2

Flop: 6 5 K ($9.50, 3 players)
BB checks, Hero bets $9.05, CO calls $9.05, BB raises to $45.25, Hero goes all-in $102, CO folds, BB calls $56.75

Turn: 8 ($222.55, 2 players)

River: 7 ($222.55, 2 players)

Final Pot: $222.55
BB shows: 5 5 4 3
Hero shows: 6 9 7 6

Hero wins $219.55 ( won +$114.55 )
BB lost -$105
CO lost -$12.05
***Small Stakes PLO BBV THREAD*** Quote
01-26-2009 , 10:08 AM
Well played, vetiver.
***Small Stakes PLO BBV THREAD*** Quote
01-26-2009 , 10:28 AM
Neverfeltme: hello, do you know anything about term BBV?
how do you think your hand fits to this thread?

hint: beat, brag, variance
***Small Stakes PLO BBV THREAD*** Quote
01-26-2009 , 02:18 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by alavet
Neverfeltme: hello, do you know anything about term BBV?
how do you think your hand fits to this thread?

hint: beat, brag, variance
He won the pot so clearly it's a brag.
***Small Stakes PLO BBV THREAD*** Quote
01-26-2009 , 04:57 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by DMoogle
Well played, vetiver.
I concur. nice line.
***Small Stakes PLO BBV THREAD*** Quote
01-26-2009 , 08:20 PM
I don't whine all that often but....
Poker Stars $2/$4 Pot Limit Omaha Hi - 6 players - View hand 20937
The Official 2+2 Hand Converter Powered By DeucesCracked.com

CO: $68.00
BTN: $210.90
SB: $76.00
BB: $153.10
UTG: $202.00
Hero (MP): $402.85

Pre Flop: ($6.00) Hero is MP with 9 8 8 T
UTG calls $4, Hero raises to $18, 1 fold, BTN calls $18, 1 fold, BB calls $14, UTG calls $14

Flop: ($74.00) T 2 8 (4 players)
BB checks, UTG checks, Hero bets $68, BTN raises to $192.90 all in, BB folds, UTG folds, Hero calls $124.90

Turn: ($459.80) 2 (2 players - 1 is all in)

River: ($459.80) 2 (2 players - 1 is all in)

Spoiler:
Final Pot: $459.80
BTN shows Kd Td 2d Ac (four of a kind, Deuces)
Hero shows 9c 8d 8h Th (a full house, Eights full of Deuces)
BTN wins $456.80
(Rake: $3.00)
***Small Stakes PLO BBV THREAD*** Quote
01-26-2009 , 09:10 PM


I am finding it quite difficult to run well while moving up.
31,000 hands.
Total winnings: 2.7BB/100
Equity adjusted: 5.8BB/100

Sorry for wasting your time with this pathetic post.

KTHXBAI
***Small Stakes PLO BBV THREAD*** Quote
01-26-2009 , 09:14 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by gavz101

I am finding it quite difficult to run well while moving up.
I fear I have the same problem.
***Small Stakes PLO BBV THREAD*** Quote
01-26-2009 , 09:18 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by gavz101
I am finding it quite difficult to run well while moving up.
31,000 hands.
Total winnings: 2.7BB/100
Equity adjusted: 5.8BB/100

Sorry for wasting your time with this pathetic post.

KTHXBAI

Well stop losing these for starters.

Poker Stars $1/$2 Pot Limit Omaha Hi - 6 players
The Official 2+2 Hand Converter Powered By DeucesCracked.com

gavz101 (BTN): $478.05
JuliaVarg (SB): $84.95
monopy (BB): $104.60
lars_vegas (UTG): $203.00
Hero (MP): $254.00
MrBIond (CO): $263.70

Pre Flop: ($3.00) Hero is MP with Q J A T
1 fold, Hero raises to $7, 1 fold, gavz101 raises to $20, 2 folds, Hero calls $13

Flop: ($43.00) 4 T K (2 players)
Hero checks, gavz101 bets $36, Hero raises to $130, gavz101 raises to $430.85, Hero calls $104 all in

Turn: ($511.00) A (2 players - 1 is all in)

River: ($511.00) 6 (2 players - 1 is all in)

Final Pot: $511.00
gavz101 mucks K K 2 9
Hero shows Q J A T (a straight, Ten to Ace)
Hero wins $508.00
(Rake: $3.00)
***Small Stakes PLO BBV THREAD*** Quote
01-26-2009 , 09:27 PM


Khan is not amused....

You're lucky I was nice. I told xr8ed to go fk himself when he got it in with the best hand and won lol
***Small Stakes PLO BBV THREAD*** Quote
01-26-2009 , 09:30 PM


This got me thinking. This is 72K hands since December running like ze poop. So does that mean that some of the really rubbish regs (that I'm not going to name) are actually only winning because they're running so well and are actually breakeven/ losing players? And does that mean poker can be so disgustingly cruel it can trick you in to thinking you are good even after 100,000 hands?
***Small Stakes PLO BBV THREAD*** Quote
01-26-2009 , 09:38 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by gavz101
This got me thinking. This is 72K hands since December running like ze poop. So does that mean that some of the really rubbish regs (that I'm not going to name) are actually only winning because they're running so well and are actually breakeven/ losing players? And does that mean poker can be so disgustingly cruel it can trick you in to thinking you are good even after 100,000 hands?
Quite possible. I really wish I were better versed in the mathematics of poker and statistics, but if you think about the typical PLO situations (read: a ****ton of 50/50; 55/45 and 60/40 hands), it's not hard to see how you could easily run way above or way below expectation for quite a while.

Also, I'd imagine that over (nearly?) any sample size less than an infinite number of hands, there's the distinct possibility of running differently than your expectation. Given the sheer number of people who play the game, I'd imagine that extreme outliers are an absolute.

Hopefully someone with an actual understanding of this stuff will chime in with some math.
***Small Stakes PLO BBV THREAD*** Quote
01-26-2009 , 11:22 PM
Look at the chart on page 31 of Mathematics of Poker. It really opened my eyes.
***Small Stakes PLO BBV THREAD*** Quote
01-26-2009 , 11:59 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by SteveL91
Quite possible. I really wish I were better versed in the mathematics of poker and statistics, but if you think about the typical PLO situations (read: a ****ton of 50/50; 55/45 and 60/40 hands), it's not hard to see how you could easily run way above or way below expectation for quite a while.

Also, I'd imagine that over (nearly?) any sample size less than an infinite number of hands, there's the distinct possibility of running differently than your expectation. Given the sheer number of people who play the game, I'd imagine that extreme outliers are an absolute.

Hopefully someone with an actual understanding of this stuff will chime in with some math.
.
***Small Stakes PLO BBV THREAD*** Quote
01-27-2009 , 12:01 AM
Also, I won at poker tonight!
***Small Stakes PLO BBV THREAD*** Quote
01-27-2009 , 01:02 AM
villain is 2003 world champion of unlimited holdem

Poker Stars $3/$6 Pot Limit Omaha Hi - 6 players - View hand 21308
The Official 2+2 Hand Converter Powered By DeucesCracked.com

SB: $583.95
BB: $528.00
UTG: $1606.15
MP: $1647.25
CO: $150.00
Hero (BTN): $989.10

Pre Flop: ($9.00) Hero is BTN with 9 Q J A
1 fold, MP raises to $21, 1 fold, Hero calls $21, SB raises to $80, 1 fold, MP calls $59, Hero calls $59

Flop: ($246.00) 7 9 T (3 players)
SB bets $60, MP calls $60, Hero raises to $483, SB folds, MP raises to $906, Hero raises to $909.10 all in, MP calls $3.10

Turn: ($2124.20) 7 (2 players - 1 is all in)

River: ($2124.20) 7 (2 players - 1 is all in)

Final Pot: $2124.20


MP shows J 9 Q T (three of a kind, Sevens)
Hero shows 9 Q J A (three of a kind, Sevens - Ace kicker)
Hero wins $2121.20
(Rake: $3.00)
***Small Stakes PLO BBV THREAD*** Quote
01-27-2009 , 01:25 AM
Good call, DMoogle and ActionFreak. I completely forgot that I already own the book. Guess I have some homework to get to.
***Small Stakes PLO BBV THREAD*** Quote
01-27-2009 , 02:10 AM
money had you in bad shape
***Small Stakes PLO BBV THREAD*** Quote
01-27-2009 , 02:27 AM
Full Tilt Poker $0.50/$1 Pot Limit Omaha Hi - 5 players - View hand 21467
The Official 2+2 Hand Converter Powered By DeucesCracked.com

SB: $97.10
Hero (BB): $142.50
UTG: $99.50
CO: $33.00
BTN: $22.70

Pre Flop: ($1.50) Hero is BB with A T A 8
UTG calls $1, 2 folds, SB calls $0.50, Hero raises to $4, UTG calls $3, 1 fold

Flop: ($9.00) 9 6 4 (2 players)
Hero bets $7, UTG calls $7

Turn: ($23.00) 6 (2 players)
Hero bets $16, UTG raises to $43, Hero requests TIME, Hero raises to $131.50 all in, UTG calls $45.50 all in

River: ($200.00) Q (2 players - 2 are all in)

Final Pot: $200.00
Hero shows A T A 8 (two pair, Aces and Sixes)
UTG shows 2 K A 2 (two pair, Sixes and Twos)
Hero wins $197.00
(Rake: $3.00)
***Small Stakes PLO BBV THREAD*** Quote
01-27-2009 , 03:17 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by ActionFreak
money had you in bad shape
ah but i won
***Small Stakes PLO BBV THREAD*** Quote
01-27-2009 , 07:14 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by DMoogle
Look at the chart on page 31 of Mathematics of Poker. It really opened my eyes.
Even though we won nicely, this truly opened my eyes to the nature of variance. One of the guys involved undertook a similar promotion on his own later on and lost massively, having calculated the chances of him losing anything at all at something like < 2%. Just doing the research into how to calculate bet-sizing according to bankroll was enough to spur me onto forgetting my history of shot-taking and gambling, turning me into the responsible, bankroll-managing player I am today.
***Small Stakes PLO BBV THREAD*** Quote
01-27-2009 , 08:55 AM
I remember reading that post, wazz.

While we're on the topic of variance, here's yet another interesting post that was made the day before yesterday: http://blogs.cardrunners.com/interne...ore-1232943829
***Small Stakes PLO BBV THREAD*** Quote
01-27-2009 , 12:11 PM
Poker Stars $0.50/$1 Pot Limit Omaha Hi - 6 players - View hand 21716
The Official 2+2 Hand Converter Powered By DeucesCracked.com

Hero (BTN): $179.20
SB: $306.40
BB: $111.70
UTG: $100.00
MP: $122.40
CO: $103.65

Pre Flop: ($1.50) Hero is BTN with 8 K K 8
1 fold, MP raises to $3.50, 1 fold, Hero raises to $11, SB calls $10.50, 1 fold, MP calls $7.50

Flop: ($34.00) T A J (3 players)
SB checks, MP checks, Hero bets $29, SB calls $29, MP folds

Turn: ($92.00) 2 (2 players)
SB checks, Hero checks

River: ($92.00) 6 (2 players)
SB bets $53, Hero raises to $120, SB folds

Final Pot: $198.00
Hero mucks 8 K K 8
Hero wins $195.00
(Rake: $3.00)
***Small Stakes PLO BBV THREAD*** Quote
01-27-2009 , 01:19 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by DMoogle
I remember reading that post, wazz.

While we're on the topic of variance, here's yet another interesting post that was made the day before yesterday: http://blogs.cardrunners.com/interne...ore-1232943829

VERY, very good read. ty.
***Small Stakes PLO BBV THREAD*** Quote
01-27-2009 , 04:21 PM
Yer nice article.

And Magnet - next time can you post a hand where you try and soulread someone and fail? It's just you make me so damn jealous.
***Small Stakes PLO BBV THREAD*** Quote

      
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