1/2 plo5, hero overcalls AA997ss expecting a raise behind, straddler makes a small raise to $20 an two callers, hero opts to flat rather than backraise a small amount since we are very deep with the original raiser. Six ways and one call in for much less to:
($120): T-9-3r. Active players donks SB $50, folds to hero who calls. HU.
Turn ($220): 5. SB checks, hero $175, sb calls.
River ($570): Q. SB thinks and bets $250. Hero? V could certainly have been donking a straight draw AP. V does not have to have it but we have no straight blockers at all and he is betting what appears to be a "call me" less than half-pot sizing. Of note his friend is all in for the small $60 side pot and the last time V rivered the nuts he bet "pot."
I don't have any experience with plo5 so take this with a grain of salt...
I'm heavily discounting KJ due to his bet sizing/line and we have history of V betting pot with nuts. I think J8 is V's only value range for this sizing with his bluffing range being weak SDV turned into bluff, QJ w/o 8, 87 w/o J. There is only one blocker to QJ (on the board), only one blocker to 87, and blockers to T9/93 should be irrelevant. We're against an action player, we only need to be good ~23.5% of the time, narrow value range vs. potentially wide bluff range, he prob ranges us for a made hand on the turn since we bet large on turn. I click call.
Last edited by daniel9861; 08-10-2022 at 12:58 AM.
Seems like a wrap kind of hand that knows it has good euity otf but doesent want to build a pot after missing turn and opts for check call and now wants to get paid. Not sure between raising/calling flop but as played potting turn and folding river to the donk because we also don’t block any of the str8s or maybe opponent could also be on some strange qqjxx hand and is now blockbetting
Seems like a wrap kind of hand that knows it has good euity otf but doesent want to build a pot after missing turn and opts for check call and now wants to get paid.