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River 2nd nut flush, getting raised by bad player River 2nd nut flush, getting raised by bad player

11-07-2023 , 11:16 AM
2/5 PLO,

I feel that I might be getting pushed around a bit in some spots. The villain I have tagged as a bad player (sometimes they are a whale with occasional re-straddling multiple times). They have a 70% VPIP.

We are 4 handed at the moment

Villain has 350BB
Hero has 150BB
CO has 110BB

Preflop: Hero has K K 9 8 in SB
CO opens to 3.4BB, BTN folds, Hero calls, Villain in BB calls

Flop: K J 5
Hero checks, Villain checks, CO checks

Turn: T
Hero bet 5.1BB (half pot), Villain calls, CO folds

River: Q
Hero bets 12.4BB, Villain raises to 57.6BB, hero?
River 2nd nut flush, getting raised by bad player Quote
11-07-2023 , 12:37 PM
3! pre-flop. Call the river
River 2nd nut flush, getting raised by bad player Quote
11-07-2023 , 12:37 PM
Could donk out on this board - charge a broadway draw that might check behind, can develop a donk range that is hard to play against. On the turn I'd just bet big - villain will have a lot of two pair/pair and draw that will call regardless of sizing. River is rough - I don't think I can fold given he could be value raising worse, there's a lot more AsX combos than flushes, and of course we're getting heavily exploited if we fold everything but the nuts. Not happy but have to call imo
River 2nd nut flush, getting raised by bad player Quote
11-07-2023 , 08:50 PM
You definitely don't 'have to call'. You have the second nuts facing a full pot-sized raise, the nut flush is absolutely in his range, no money went in on the flop so it's not like he chased a bdfd on the flop, and as we discussed in the other thread value-raising with worse is rare even from a player with this description. The fact that he is 70% vpip and thus is going to have lots of unsuited Ax in his range pre is the only indicator that we should call, but that's significantly outweighed by the most prominent information which is that we're facing a pot-sized raise. I would fold.
River 2nd nut flush, getting raised by bad player Quote

      
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