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[Low] Combo draw 160BB deep 1/2 [Low] Combo draw 160BB deep 1/2

06-23-2023 , 09:31 AM
Villain is marked as undecided (Not sure if they are good or bad yet). As of now our view is that they are mediocre. They have opened light a bit, but I don't have a large enough sample size. They haven't done anything ridiculous yet.

Preflop Villain has 160BB
Hero Covers

Preflop: Hero has K Q T 5 in BB
Villain opens to pot 3.5BB in CO, 2 folds, Hero calls

Flop: K T 9
Villain bets pot 7.5BB, Hero raises to 30BB, Villain calls

Turn: A
Hero bets 67.5BB, Villain calls

River: 4
Hero?

On the turn I am a bit lost. Not sure if I should be check calling or bet calling or bet folding (I think I have too much equity to b/f). but I don't know if this player will fold AK with AsXs.
Comments on all streets please.
[Low] Combo draw 160BB deep 1/2 Quote
06-23-2023 , 11:10 AM
I don't think I would check/pot the flop on this texture. On the river I would think his range is sets, and maybe some club/combo draws AJcc/AK with clubs? but of course you block a lot of them. I guess you get to the river with about 50bb left and 200 bb in the pot - the problem is you like QJ/clubs and will be laying a great price for him to call so think he looks you up a lot here.
[Low] Combo draw 160BB deep 1/2 Quote
06-23-2023 , 12:41 PM
I also dont x/pot flop. SPR is 20 and yes you have a good hand but not wanting to bloat the pot here

On turn, think this is a bad turn to bet betting for your hand. A big part of his flop calling range is Acc so this will give him 2p+ often to go along with it.

As for river, I generally dont like to bluff at these short SPRs but you have QJ a lot here and he doesnt. So i dont mind a jam. What other hands are you gonna bluff with?
[Low] Combo draw 160BB deep 1/2 Quote
06-25-2023 , 10:52 PM
I’d be very curious to see what a flop cr looks like on this board from a solver if someone has access to one. My guess is that it’s pretty small.
[Low] Combo draw 160BB deep 1/2 Quote

      
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