[HIGH] KJT98ds - Small Stakes Pot Limit Omaha

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[HIGH] KJT98ds

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08-21-2021 , 09:49 AM

DumbosTrunk

Verified Coach PLO5

Join Date: Apr 2017 Posts: 7,320

Hi all,

5/5/25 BTN straddle. Hero UTG $100 with KJT98ds, three callers. $1,500 eff.

Flop ($400): 7h4c2s. Checks through. Really hoping for a good turn.

Turn: Td, badugi board. We have top pair and wrap now. Hero x, fish whale $100 (he bets everything including his draws), other fish all in $350, bad reg btn calls, hero decides to rip with top pair and wrap, hoping he is freerolling btn and can win side pot. Ok? Or flat better/lower variance? People say if not pushing equity edge don’t raise but if this is +EV then we should do it even if we could be “behind” btn who covers. Whale who bet turn has around $700. Pot is around $1,200 when on hero.

Thanks,
DT

Last edited by DumbosTrunk; 08-21-2021 at 09:54 AM.

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08-21-2021 , 08:38 PM

monikrazy

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Sep 2009 Posts: 28,053

Don't like jam, think we can consider conservative fold given the likelihood of dead outs and drawing to chops.

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08-21-2021 , 11:46 PM

flyingnite

adept

Join Date: Feb 2005 Posts: 734

Quote:

Originally Posted by DumbosTrunk

You gotta really trust your read, because AT is crushing you. Heck, even a random T is ahead of you.

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09-01-2021 , 05:30 PM

SocraticGambler

centurion

Join Date: Mar 2019 Posts: 180

Quote:

Originally Posted by monikrazy

Don't like jam, think we can consider conservative fold given the likelihood of dead outs and drawing to chops.

Conservative fold is probably the best line, but if you feel like being a gambling degenerate I could see a call. Definitely not shipping though.

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09-02-2021 , 02:49 AM

OmahaDonk

Pooh-Bah

Join Date: Apr 2011 Posts: 4,923

I would fold, no one will ever know besides you and 2p2

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09-02-2021 , 06:27 AM

Pokerbros_Player

journeyman

Join Date: Aug 2021 Posts: 274

easy push all-in

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09-07-2021 , 11:31 AM

deuceblocker

veteran

Join Date: Apr 2019 Posts: 3,383

Fold. A wrap is not worth so much on the turn and top pair is nothing on the turn in PLO.

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09-07-2021 , 12:51 PM

Z06Fanatic1

adept

Join Date: Feb 2015 Posts: 835

Seems like a rip given button never has a set - probably has a hand similar to yours or a low two pair+. Can't imagine we don't have good equity here and maybe get him to fold some better hands.

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09-07-2021 , 10:18 PM

J4J

centurion

Join Date: Aug 2021 Posts: 100

Quote:

Originally Posted by DumbosTrunk

hoping he is freerolling btn

Chances of that are 0.0000000000000001%

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09-09-2021 , 11:00 AM

#10

illiterat

veteran

Join Date: Mar 2011 Posts: 2,483

Quote:

Originally Posted by flyingnite

You gotta really trust your read, because AT is crushing you. Heck, even a random T is ahead of you.

Gotta say I didn't expect the last part:

ProPokerTools 5-Card Omaha Hi Simulation

600,000 trials (Randomized)

board: 7

Hand	Pot equity	Wins	Ties
KJT98	43.44%	240,547	40,150
T	56.56%	319,303	40,150

...although we are ahead of all straight draws. Kind of:

ProPokerTools 5-Card Omaha Hi Simulation

600,000 trials (Randomized)

board: 7

Hand	Pot equity	Wins	Ties
KJT98	49.32%	271,187	49,490
T65:40%	50.68%	279,323	49,490

I don't really like any options, I probably sigh call in game if I thought original better less likely to shove (and fold if more likely to). Folding either way is likely better though.

Also with the straddle "whale" is like 32bb deep at the start of the hand? Good luck not degen gambling.

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09-09-2021 , 01:45 PM

#11

Shot_taker

journeyman

Join Date: May 2020 Posts: 233

You go HOLY CRAP ON TOAST THE PERFECT CARD then pray to get it in.

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