Quote:
Originally Posted by BINGOBANGOFTP
Suppose you have AA59 on 457 board, make a bad cbet into three people, get called by 2 players. 8 on turn (4578). You check, one guy shoves, and it folds around to you. You're always dead here right? How good do your pot odds have to be for you to make the AA + gutter calldown? I felt like the 5:1 I was getting wasn't good enough but I called it off anyway and felt dumb. What if I got 7:1? 10:1?
Do you have any flush draws? Otherwise, you have 4 outs (if you are ignoring possible top set draws that are beat if you really think he has the straight now, likewise with catching two pair) and 44 cards left, so 4/44 is 1/11, so you need raw pot odds of 11 to 1, and then if you think he will call any of your bets if you make a draw that beats him, you can take those implied odds into account, and then if you think you might be tying, you have to discount/negate some of that.
With flush draws, much prettier.
The outs I listed are b/c you said gutshot - and they are largely negated in that if the guy has the straight, he is already holding some, and then you at best split.
Last edited by mmmmuffins; 07-23-2008 at 07:13 PM.