Tough spot here for me. Villain 3bet from MP vs UTG. I'm on btn with AAT7ds.

214 hands with main villain. 3bet from MP is 14% (1 out of 7). I have a note that villain has 3bet and called a 4bet with AKQ9 ds. Slow played middle set on flop and turn before. On to the hand... based on the action I felt that villain had KKxx because they didn't raise the flop (i.e. the slow play read). That being said I relied more on the AKQ9 ds read to see that I could be ahead here. I really wanted to fold but felt that was too tight. Thoughts on the hand?


PokerStars - $0.10 PL Hi FAST (6 max) - Omaha Hi - 6 players
Hand converted by PokerTracker 4

Hero (BTN): $16.69
SB: $7.31
BB: $20.42
UTG: $10.00
MP: $37.02
CO: $15.75

SB posts SB $0.05, BB posts BB $0.10

Pre Flop: (pot: $0.15) Hero has 7 T A A

UTG raises to $0.35, MP raises to $1.20, fold, Hero raises to $4.10, fold, fold, UTG calls $3.75, MP calls $2.90

Flop: ($12.45, 3 players) 7 9 K
UTG bets $5.90 and is all-in, MP calls $5.90, Hero

Spoiler:

raises to $12.59 and is all-in

Sample size of 7 hands is lol.

There are no choices anywhere here, shoving 100% of flops and this is a flop. Read would need to be villain turning over KK before your action.

There are some flops we might want to fold on, but this is not anywhere close to one of them.

Agree with both of the above. The spr is just too low here, youre just committed. This is a good thing because villains are also committed which means you got them committed preflop with AAxx.
If you had 40$ behind like MP then you'd need to start doing some soul searching on the flop/turn and maybe, just maybe, here you could give up on some real bad board like a single suited rundown you have no piece of or KKx or whatever.... but here you gotta just shrug and gii.

sorry, I may have confused things a bit by showing 3bet sample size from MP only. I have 236 hands with villain. His stats are 37/26/7

Glad to see the play was correct... on a losing streak this week where either I'm losing 80% of the hands where I'm flipping / slight favorite or I'm running into scenarios like this with low SPR where the villain flopped a strong hand and I'm loosing 160-200 BB. I'm trying to be patient and studying more instead of playing but started to doubt some of my plays