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HU PLO200 3bet pot w/ combodraw OTT HU PLO200 3bet pot w/ combodraw OTT

01-10-2012 , 01:12 AM
Villian plays 62/56/15.4(3b). cbet 93% in 3b-pots and overall turn cb is 54%(that is not only in 3b pots tho'). Dunno what more info u need. His betsizing was kinda standard for him. Sometime a little smaller turnbet was to induce and sometime it was weakness. Not sure...

Thoughts on this play?

    HU PLO $1/$2

    Hero (BTN): $699.55 (349.8 bb)
    BB: $429.33 (214.7 bb)

    Preflop: Hero is BTN with 7 Q J 4
    Hero raises to $5, BB raises to $18, Hero calls $12

    Flop: ($36) T 6 A (2 players)
    BB bets $24, Hero calls $24

    Turn: ($84) 5 (2 players)
    BB bets $58, Hero raises to $258????



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    HU PLO200 3bet pot w/ combodraw OTT Quote
    01-10-2012 , 01:14 AM
    wp
    HU PLO200 3bet pot w/ combodraw OTT Quote
    01-10-2012 , 03:28 AM
    Overall river agression? I call turn, ship isnt bad.
    HU PLO200 3bet pot w/ combodraw OTT Quote
    01-10-2012 , 04:56 AM
    Since he 3bets so wide and Cbet flop a ton his range OTT is very wide. His range for betting turn is 0.154*0.93*0.53 = 0.076. So He has 7.6% of possible hands on this turn.
    Vs top 7.6% of hands u have 48% and since he is folding a lot of hands that are ahead in absolute handstrenght of you know (basically everything >Q-high) I think your shove is very good here.
    Also many people 2barrel A-high boards and since turn is def a brick he's prolly gonna barrel here more often than he does on average since ur way more draw heavy than strong-made-hand-heavy.
    HU PLO200 3bet pot w/ combodraw OTT Quote
    01-10-2012 , 05:33 AM
    Yeah I really like it. We still have 33 percent equity when he wakes up with a set but we should have so much fold equity and we can even shovel in the last little bit on the river to fold out a random pair+draw or king high that calls us and bricks the river.
    HU PLO200 3bet pot w/ combodraw OTT Quote
    01-10-2012 , 01:00 PM
    +EV play.
    HU PLO200 3bet pot w/ combodraw OTT Quote
    01-10-2012 , 02:35 PM
    Shoving can't really be bad, but I'd prefer to call. A cool thing is that your hand is a little disguised, you probably get paid off on a three, and can possibly bluff Q/J rivs. It'd be good to know a little about his river tendencies. The more clueless you are about what he'll do or is doing, the more I like shipping ott
    HU PLO200 3bet pot w/ combodraw OTT Quote
    01-10-2012 , 03:48 PM
    I think It would be hard to know which cards to barrel OTR.
    I think its +EV too. Qstion is if its more +ev to call?! But I think ship is best maybe... Especially since he gave me credit for big turn raises, as I remember.
    HU PLO200 3bet pot w/ combodraw OTT Quote

          
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