Quote:
Originally Posted by MarkD
If you had won you would 't be posting, so you lost, so obviously too thin.
A more accurate answer though is given your four cards and the three on the flop then at that point in the hand there are 45 unknown cards and if you have 7 opponents then they have 28 cards and if one of those cards is the 9 then:
hands_with_nine = C(44,27) * 1
hands = C(45, 28)
p_nine = C(44, 27) / C(45, 28) = 62.22%
On the river this goes up to 65%.
What about the chances someone out there has pocket kings? I didn't want to calculate this so I wrote a python script and came up with 22%. I simulated it with propokertools and got the same answer. So it's about 3 -1 that your opponent has quads here rather than KK.
edit: Check the flop.
What kind of sourcery is this . Interested in the python script
Cool calc to get 62%, lets take this as the lower bound. With card removals and the ranges that people play the odds of someone having a 9 on the flop is more like 80%
With someone possibly folding KK before the river him having a 9 is more like 90%
Then him calling river again with KK is very ambitious
Hand is mega spew. But dont worry, we all spew from time to time (at least i do)