Call or fold against this turn shove?
Join Date: Dec 2017
Posts: 238
Newbie trying to learn PLO here. This is from PLO 10 on Bovada.
Villain has 4-bet twice, and both times were AAxx. It's not a 4-bet here, but that's all I've got that might be instructive. He's got a huge stack (835 BBs). Hero has 77.5.
MP posts a dead blind, Hero (BTN) pots to 5.5 BBs with Kd Ks Qc Jc. SB (Villian) 3-bets to 18.5 BB. MP calls, Hero calls.
Pot is about 55 BBs to flop of Qd 3s Tc
SB bets 30 BBs. MP calls for his last 20 BBs. Hero calls.
Pot is 135 BBs to turn of 8:s:
SB shoves to put me in for my last 29 BBs.
I am getting about 6 to 1 (29 to win 193), so it's obviously right to call if I have all 10 outs (2 Ks for a set, 4 As and 4 9s for the nut straight).
But the question is how much do we have to discount those outs by some being counterfeit (the set of Ks is no good if it gives villain a straight, or the straight is no good if it gives villain a flush), or just assuming that a few out of those outs are sitting in the hands of the TWO other players who are in the hand? Although I'm blocking another nut straight, I could also be looking at a chop.
Does all of that make it a fold, even with good odds?
Join Date: Jul 2008
Posts: 528
What's great about playing this short is flop is easy to play, raise, this is a good flop for you. As played, turn feels like a fold. 3 ways assume someone has FD even with Ks blocker.
Join Date: Apr 2011
Posts: 4,835
You are priced in on turn