Quote:
Originally Posted by wazz
This is a very dangerous mindset...
I think we're talking about slightly different things, which I take responsibility for in not being clearer.
And even at that, I take your advice seriously, as I do think I sometimes sacrifice some EV in order to reduce variance or even just the complexity of my decision making (as my typical poker session is playing 11-13 tables of both PLO and NLH, so being efficient is important to my hourly even if I'm sacrificing bb/100).
I mostly meant that this spot (when the turn comes off; before we check or bet) isn't as high EV as it looks and it's just not in the highest percentiles of profitable PLO situations (the moments that build the bulk of our profits).
I was mostly warning against an overly broad mentality of "full house, let's play a big pot", and I was too terse.
But ultimately: it's just kind of hard to make money off of a worse hand across the final two streets of betting here and it's extremely easy to lose a lot of money to a better hand.
So I just wanted to remind OP that this just isn't the most profitable full house we're going to find.