AQTT3ds spr2 single raised pot - Small Stakes Pot Limit Omaha

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AQTT3ds spr2 single raised pot

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05-31-2023 , 02:04 PM

DumbosTrunk

Verified Coach PLO5

Join Date: Apr 2017 Posts: 7,330

Hi all,

5/5/25(btn)/50(sb), this hand there is an early position limp and hero isos with AQQT3 (title wrong--QQ not TT) A-high clubs Q-high hearts to $200 otb and sb and limper all. We are three ways and I am $1,400 eff. now.

Flop($600): Ah-Td-8d. We flop top two on a draw heavy board and backdoor hearts. Spr is just over 2. SB checks and limper pots. He's no nit by any stretch but he will have a strong hand here especially potting into me and what he knows is an AA-heavy range. We need around 40% to ship here. Do we call and get the rest in on safe turns or just get it over with and realize our equity?

Thanks,
DT

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05-31-2023 , 05:54 PM

monikrazy

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Sep 2009 Posts: 28,056

Kind of a tricky spot. Optimistically, Hero may have something like 38-39% average equity.

What do you think the worst hand villain bets here: is he going to pot t976dd? What about atxxx and sets?

Double q blocker kind of interesting here, it helps us if opponent overplays too many j9 combos but it also cuts down a bunch of semi-bluffs we want villain to have.

Against some opponents Hero can just make a tight fold. Against mostly sets and superior combo draws Hero will have less than 30%.

Would almost always call over jam since we don't benefit much from knocking out marginal calls from SB.

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06-01-2023 , 07:33 AM

Round of 6

journeyman

Join Date: Oct 2022 Posts: 374

Im making a tight fold here. His worst made hand is AT which u can barely improve upon and the other class of hands he has are high equity combo hands which you arent doing that great against

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06-01-2023 , 11:38 AM

pokerfan655

old hand

Join Date: Jun 2012 Posts: 1,387

I wouldn't fold this - even vs a bare 88 we have 6 outs and that's the top of his range. Think I'd call here and pray for a turn blank

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06-01-2023 , 02:03 PM

DumbosTrunk

Verified Coach PLO5

Join Date: Apr 2017 Posts: 7,330

Quote:

Originally Posted by monikrazy

He can def. have combo draws we are in decent shape against especially on brick turns. I don't think he would just pot with middle or bottom set, he knows I have AA a lot. So he's probably weighted towards draws tbh. I've seen him check fold worse sets on these boards.

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06-01-2023 , 03:56 PM

monikrazy

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Sep 2009 Posts: 28,056

If villlain isn't potting any sets here this is a fairly straightforward call. Hero can GII on most non diamond turns.

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06-01-2023 , 09:46 PM

ABCforME

journeyman

Join Date: Jul 2016 Posts: 297

How many straddles did you start the hand with and what was the SPR when flop came?
At what SPR should you fold in this spot?
You seem to correctly play a lot of <100bb hands and get value with tight pre flop ranges and dead money and aggression so obvious spots like this don't seem question worthy

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06-02-2023 , 07:21 PM

Round of 6

journeyman

Join Date: Oct 2022 Posts: 374

Monikrazy first guessed you had 39% and that was being optimistic. I think he is right in the sense that you don't even have that much.

By my calcs you have around 36% equity

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06-02-2023 , 09:57 PM

monikrazy

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Sep 2009 Posts: 28,056

Quote:

Originally Posted by Round of 6

Monikrazy first guessed you had 39% and that was being optimistic. I think he is right in the sense that you don't even have that much.

By my calcs you have around 36% equity

I did run a few sims so that was an informed estimate btw.

Like I said against tighter ranges Hero is might not have 33%. Hero needs 39% for break-even if he shoves but since we have tough visibility its not clear if we should fold any non-diamond turns.

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06-02-2023 , 10:35 PM

#10

Round of 6

journeyman

Join Date: Oct 2022 Posts: 374

Quote:

Originally Posted by monikrazy

Yep agree. So fold flop is my play

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