Quote:
Originally Posted by Javanewt
I seriously can't believe anyone thinks this guys is potting this river into three players lightly or calling a raise from pre-flop raiser w/ worse than AAA99 here.
Villain sees a lot of flops and calls a lot of bets, but he rarely gets out of line when he bets or raises, When he pots out of position, he's been showing the nuts every time. I had a sense that he was incredibly strong when he bet out.
I am never raising river.
Yeah he's the pfr.. but he's been min raising with every single playable hand and hasn't flatted once. On top of the fact the pfr could have a ton of different hands, it checked through on the flop and turn. A fish could definitely try to steal this pot or value bet with a worse hand.
With the read he has, a call could be fine.. but he's also labeled a fish and this is the only bet made post flop. He's losing specifically to 99, QJhh, J7hh, 67hh. There are many more hands with TT, A9, 89, T9, 88 that he might overvalue. Plus some random bluffs with Jh, 7h or 9X. Who knows. He's a fish.
If his read is that he's 100% sure that he has the nuts when he goes with this line, then yes it's a fold. But that's just hard to believe.
If anything I'd rather minclick it back to him than call and if he pots just fold. But I still probably make it $1k. If you minclick and he calls. Cool you just got extra value. If he folds then he had a worse hand or was just bluffing anyway. If he pots it'd be suicide to do that without a straight flush or quads, even a fish knows that.