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AAxx 3-way 4b pot (240bb deep) AAxx 3-way 4b pot (240bb deep)

01-10-2024 , 08:21 PM
Ignition 25PLO

Not a ton of information on villain in the hand. Haven't been at the table too long. Seems like a station preflop. The one hand with villain was a 3-way SRP where I had AT98 on the BTN and called villain's MP open (would usually 3b this hand, but was distracted and mis-clicked). Flop was A94. Checks to me, I bet 1/3 pot and get two callers including villain. Turn is 3x. Checks to me and I bet 1/2 pot. One caller and villain min-raises. We both call. River is 9x. Checks to me and I shove for ~60bb. SB folds and Villain insta-calls with K-high flush.

The hand—

Hero (240bb) in MP opens AAQ2 to 3.5bb. CO calls. SB (40bb) 3b to 15bb. BB (340bb) flats the 3b. Hero 4b to 62bb. CO folds. SB calls (all-in). BB calls as well.

Flop (~160bb): 4T4

BB checks, Hero bets 36bb, BB jams.

This flop is about as dry as it gets in a 4b pot. SPR is ~1.1, so it felt like I could either just pot it and get it in, or bet ~1/5-1/4 and jam turns. There's really not a lot we're worried about here other than a random dangling 4 or TT, neither of which are a huge part of villain's range here. So basically just hands like AKJ4ds or TT98ds (assuming villain is even remotely competent, which given the double overcall from the BB probably isn't the case).

Once villain jams, we have 142bb behind and there's 338bb in the pot. So we're getting ~2.4:1 on the call, thus have to be winning ~30% of the time. Now, this is 25PLO so I've certainly seen plenty of villains jam hands like KKTx or QJT9 here, but for the most part I'm not going to assume that's the case. Given how little there is to work with on this board, villain shouldn't have almost any bluffs and we're behind essentially any value unless they're just spazzing out with KKxx as mentioned above.

So, is this a sigh fold, or a sigh call? Thoughts?
AAxx 3-way 4b pot (240bb deep) Quote

      
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