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AAQ88ds 3! pot spr 2 AAQ88ds 3! pot spr 2

09-21-2023 , 02:51 AM
Hi all,

This hand hero is dealt AAQ88ds hhss and there is an ep iso to $15 a call and hero makes it $75 otb. We are $800 eff. with the main villain. Four callers to a flop of:

($385): K65hhs. We flop nut flush draw and back door nut flush draw. Original raiser pots into the field with $395 behind. Spr is 2. It folds to us with a couple players behind us. Assuming he has KK which is very likely given preflop and flop action (V is pro), we aren’t getting quite the right price. Is it insane to just fold flop?

Anyway I called hoping someone behind would overcall to give me a better price but no dice. Turn brought in the back door flush draw for me on the 2s, V jammed and I of course snapped.

Thanks,
DT

Last edited by DumbosTrunk; 09-21-2023 at 02:57 AM.
AAQ88ds 3! pot spr 2 Quote
09-21-2023 , 06:19 AM
Well played.
AAQ88ds 3! pot spr 2 Quote
09-21-2023 , 08:44 AM
Played perfectly imo.

I like calling trying to invite another player.

Calling without another player is also fine, you get to play a peel and stack. You can fold board pairing turns and stack the rest. Theres enough money in the pot for this to be +EV
AAQ88ds 3! pot spr 2 Quote
09-21-2023 , 02:44 PM
I think you have enough equity vs KK to stack off on the flop.

Well played.
AAQ88ds 3! pot spr 2 Quote
09-21-2023 , 04:52 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by MarkD
I think you have enough equity vs KK to stack off on the flop.

Well played.
Need 40% at spr 2 and a few percentage points short
AAQ88ds 3! pot spr 2 Quote
09-21-2023 , 05:03 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Round of 6
Need 40% at spr 2 and a few percentage points short
I have this hand on this flop at 45% vs KK*
AAQ88ds 3! pot spr 2 Quote
09-21-2023 , 06:54 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by MarkD
I have this hand on this flop at 45% vs KK*
Hmm doesnt feel right. Instead of any KK, can you make it something like KK thats in the top 15% of hands eg hes not gonna open/call a KK932 tri suit
AAQ88ds 3! pot spr 2 Quote
09-21-2023 , 07:31 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by MarkD
I have this hand on this flop at 45% vs KK*
Feels pretty instinctively wrong for fd+op to be 45% against top set, and ppt says 35%:



Best I can get it to is 41.5% if we give villain KK555.
AAQ88ds 3! pot spr 2 Quote
09-21-2023 , 07:42 PM
Does he shove turn when he hit? If he does then we over realize as we get to fold on his kill outs. Also we might get over called, this board is quite wet.

Wazz, our bdfd is also nfd.
AAQ88ds 3! pot spr 2 Quote
09-21-2023 , 07:59 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by OmahaDonk

Wazz, our bdfd is also nfd.
Adds 1%
AAQ88ds 3! pot spr 2 Quote
09-22-2023 , 07:16 PM
Well played.

All kinds of moves have crossed my mind while I’m sitting here typing, but actually think just flatting is probably best with this actual hand.

If we knew hand was going to be heads up, can we just fold? (Even though I probably never do)
AAQ88ds 3! pot spr 2 Quote

      
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