Join Date: Oct 2017
Posts: 608
If you were deeper, I'd advocate a call and jamming all paired rivers on the top board (and when we boat up/make the straight on the bottom as well, of course). Now there is a chance that the jam might not get through since it will be like a quarter pot or something like that. However, just calling is iffy as well - I mean, are there really any runouts we can realistically fold for 700 more if we put in 720 now? If we just call, we are in a shitty spot if we don't improve on the bottom board, however, given the odds I think we are forced to call hoping for the chop anyway (if we don't jam ourselves).
I mean, to me it smells like a made hand on the top board, which has us drawing slim (most likely to four outs, best case scenario eight outs, but in the eight-out scenario he will have a bunch of outs to beat us on the bottom board as well), and we have a probably good, but vulnerable hand on the bottom board. Hands that really crush us are unlikely (AKKxx w/ nut spades would probably have re-raised pre), however a hand like KKxxx w/ spades is possible, although there are many more combos that our equity is decent again.
I mean, folding kind of sucks since we are too strong for that, and this is a fold I'd probably never make in-game, however in theory it might be the best play I guess.