Again, you could use PPT to do this:
You could give both of the bottom players 75% and that only increases us to 24.33%.
Going through it HU in a spr ~3.5 spot, it's a check without a flush draw or the Ad/Qd/Jd blocker. While it's a pretty different spot that should tell you a lot when it's not even a slam dunk bet HU. Also, this will show you that checking isn't "neutral ev" as has been said on here for 20 years. There's always ev in checking because it will impact the profit/loss of your hand. This becomes more important the more cards you hold because of the drastic equity shifts that can happen on future streets.
I realize hand/board is slightly different but that really doesn't make a difference in this spot.
and for kicks you can see that without the straight already out there, it's still a x
edit: I don't think betting is -ev in your hand, I think it's not the most +ev play.
Last edited by NJPW; 06-01-2022 at 05:49 PM.