Poker Stars $25.00 Pot Limit Omaha Hi - 5 players
The Official 2+2 Hand Converter Powered By DeucesCracked.com

CO: $28.15
BTN: $13.98
Hero (SB): $28.21
BB: $30.02
UTG: $15.00

UTG posts a big blind ($0.25)

Pre Flop: ($0.60) Hero is SB with 8 4 A A
UTG checks, CO calls $0.25, BTN calls $0.25, Hero raises to $1.50, 1 fold, UTG calls $1.25, CO calls $1.25, 1 fold

Flop: ($5.00) J 7 5 (3 players)
Hero checks, UTG bets $3.00, CO folds, Hero calls $3

Turn: ($11.00) 4 (2 players)
Hero bets $10.47,


only 14 hands, villain is 46/8. I often give up but his bet didnt look super strong and I had a gutter and 2 BDNFD so I called. Turn improved my hand but also improved his range, though I think he very often will still have a 2pair type hand that can't call a push.
I felt like checking vs his 2pair hands would allow him to play perfectly, and even against his hands I might be slightly ahead of and could potentially bluff, I'd much rather win now than get it in as a slight favorite.

I figure I have ~30% vs his calling range, which means I only need to pick up the pot ~30%.

1. How is flop? If I want to continue with my hand, is it better to just bet it myself? I figured I get calls by tons of hands, many of which I'm in decent shape against, but I always get outplayed if I take the AA-transparent line of cbetting then checking.
If I do bet the flop, do I shove this turn?

2. As played, is the turn lead fine? Do my calc estimations look decent, and if so, is it reasonable to think I win at least 30%?

its good'

also our hand is strong enough to bet flop

ok cool, so cbetting and shoving most turns that bring a draw?

I like the c-bet alot cuz lots of turns gonna allow a second barrel and u often hold the best hand here.

However i dont like ur line if u put villain on TP; he wont lay down J7 or J5 here with that baby coming off on the turn. Ur line appears real strong but considering ur specific read, its not a good idea i think. I like the c/c. Because in terms of equity u have diamonds, board paring which forfeits his TP and two aces left.

More, what if he raises the turn ? Folding because u dont have ur 30% odd related to equity anymore. Would be a shame.

thanks for responding. I'd like to quickly point out that I don't have specific reads, I was just assuming he would fold weak 2pair hands like 54xx a decent amount. Also, turn is putting him all-in, he only has PSB left (so admittedly he will call with more made hands, but I also never have to deal with facing a raise)

Apologize for that OP, it could happen that iam too lazy to scroll and check the upper part with my laggy smartphone... pretty tilting sometimes!