Quote:
Originally Posted by answer20
Why such a small lead? Pattern from previous play? Did that induce the x/r or just business as usual? The x/r seems small as well, perhaps trying to get HU with MP if you were just stabbing.
Your hand is pretty face up if you raise OTF .. flush or top set, but mostly flush IMO. I'm assuming that the likelihood of a MP raise is really low.
This is one of those spots where you have to decide if you're going to get any more value on a blank Turn.
Are there any bluffs in your play? If not then you need to flat and cross fingers for a blank and hope you continue to get value from at least one Player going to the River.
So Player Pool and 'moment' dynamic to this .. I play it both ways and really like having position on SB.
If you are going to get called by 'all' sets' and also have some 'Ace blocker' bluffs in your ranges, then I'd probably lean to a re-raise .. probably 240, not pot.
The one big negative is what to do if the Board pairs the Turn and SB is smart enough to bomb into you? GL
I tend to go small on monotone boards. 1/4-1/3 pot. I think the size I used is too small multiway and I should size up since I'm more likely to get a call.
I do have bluffs in my play but I don't know any of these players and if they know I have bluffs or not.
What I was thinking at the time was I'd never raise any sets here or worse flushes. So it's either a bluff or nut flush when I do raise. Flatting keeps my hand disguised and can get possibly all players to call plus I'm IP of SB. It also looks very strong if I bet, get 2 calls + a raise, then 3bet.. which is good for my bluffs and I know I need to balance naked Ac and the nuts so I feel I should be raising a good portion of the time. Plus it's going to be harder to GII unless we build the pot. But with the other players seeming very fishy they could still come along with bad flushes if I flat. I almost feel like in this situation plus having a pair from the board I'd prefer to flat. I think they likely fold flushes even if I make a raise to 240 and not pot it. Although they are fishy I'm sure they are smart enough to know if they call they will be facing a much bigger bet on the turn.
Like you said, the big negative is if the board pairs.