100 buy ins, in 31 days prop bet for $300k, finish 18:19 CET 23rd Sep - LIVE now - Page 84 - Small Stakes Pot Limit Omaha

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100 buy ins, in 31 days prop bet for $300k, finish 18:19 CET 23rd Sep - LIVE now

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09-18-2014 , 07:17 AM

#2076

Jabonator

nice piano there

Join Date: Apr 2009 Posts: 13,322

lol at that offer

09-18-2014 , 07:19 AM

#2077

ec0n0mist

newbie

Join Date: May 2005 Posts: 26

Right, my apologies.
I merely assumed it was acceptable to offer bets as if it were a free market.

09-18-2014 , 07:21 AM

#2078

Liftoff

centurion

Join Date: Apr 2014 Posts: 109

Quote:

Originally Posted by ec0n0mist

Right, my apologies.
I merely assumed it was acceptable to offer bets as if it were a free market.

If two people agree it is a free market.
I doubt any bettors are coming here just to screw YaAaRnY's chances now.

09-18-2014 , 07:22 AM

#2079

TrollAccount

journeyman

Join Date: Mar 2014 Posts: 387

Quote:

Originally Posted by Liftoff

^^ why can't you just say, for the sake of clarity, you will bet up to $2,500 at 8/1 op will win his bet?
Easier I think!

+1

I was like...

Spoiler:

09-18-2014 , 07:23 AM

#2080

ec0n0mist

newbie

Join Date: May 2005 Posts: 26

Quote:

Originally Posted by Liftoff

^^ why can't you just say, for the sake of clarity, you will bet up to $2,500 at 8/1 op will win his bet?
Easier I think!

Because it was a response to rubenrtv's request.

09-18-2014 , 07:26 AM

#2081

David123

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Dec 2008 Posts: 8,818

could go either way, im sure he's had 50 bi swings in 3 days before.
will be fun if he's kind of close(10-20 buyins short) in the end
and has to force some extra variance. which obv is ev+ to some extent.

09-18-2014 , 08:42 AM

#2082

tinytim2006

journeyman

Join Date: Jan 2008 Posts: 346

Quote:

Originally Posted by ec0n0mist

Will lay '100 BI not achieved' at 1/8

that seems clear enough to me, its how bookmakers advertise such bets.

offering 1/8 is just insulting,

09-18-2014 , 09:16 AM

#2083

MATT111

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Jun 2005 Posts: 6,008

Quote:

Originally Posted by tinytim2006

that seems clear enough to me, its how bookmakers advertise such bets.

offering 1/8 is just insulting,

What odds would you offer?

09-18-2014 , 09:43 AM

#2084

Jesse.Pinkman

centurion

Join Date: Sep 2012 Posts: 104

lol... we could find a Europa League match tonight at a better odd.
Guys , do not bet, Yaaarny has to win!!

#malta #rageaments

09-18-2014 , 09:45 AM

#2085

cundall

newbie

Join Date: Aug 2014 Posts: 19

He got 2/1 for 31 days.

He's only just over half way to winning with 3 days left, 8/1 is generous but about right.

09-18-2014 , 09:55 AM

#2086

alexo18

veteran

Join Date: Sep 2010 Posts: 2,409

Edit: lol maths

09-18-2014 , 10:37 AM

#2087

cundall

newbie

Join Date: Aug 2014 Posts: 19

I said 'seems about right'

What odds would a bookmaker give with 3 days left knowing he's 60 BI's up, based on originally offering 2/1 .

Can't be that hard can it?

Alexo, why not work it out?

LOL MATHS.

Last edited by cundall; 09-18-2014 at 10:48 AM.

09-18-2014 , 10:54 AM

#2088

crashwhips

self-banned

Join Date: Oct 2007 Posts: 3,940

Quote:

Originally Posted by vallepoker88

wtf

PokerStars, Omaha Pot Limit - $10/$20 - 5 players
Rail Hand History Converter

krmont22 (UTG): $2523.58 (126 bb)
flong78 (MP): $5582.38 (279 bb)
ISILDRooN (BU): $6073.18 (304 bb)
YaAaRnY (SB): $16933.51 (847 bb)
ZiWuvdUbtiYd (BB): $2000 (100 bb)

Pre Flop: ($30)
3 folds, YaAaRnY (SB) raises to $60, ZiWuvdUbtiYd (BB) 3-bets to $180, YaAaRnY (SB) 4-bets to $540, ZiWuvdUbtiYd (BB) calls $360

Flop: ($1080) 6

(2 players)
YaAaRnY (SB) bets $1077, ZiWuvdUbtiYd (BB) raises to $1460 (all-in), YaAaRnY (SB) calls $383

Turn: ($4000) 7

(2 players, 1 all-in)

River: ($4000) 9

(2 players, 1 all-in)

Total pot: $4000 (Rake: $3)

Showdown:
YaAaRnY (SB) shows 5

(two pair, Kings and Nines)
(Equity - pre: 65%, flop: 19%, turn: 13%, river: 100%)

ZiWuvdUbtiYd (BB) shows 4

(two pair, Queens and Nines)
(Equity - pre: 35%, flop: 81%, turn: 88%, river: 0%)

YaAaRnY (SB) wins $3997

What part of this hand is wtf? Seems very std to me, 3b is tad on the loose side but it's bvb

Also, seems like YaAarny was in god-mode since you started posting hands, of the 15 or however many hands you posted he lost only 2 I think. And ty for posting the hands!

09-18-2014 , 10:58 AM

#2089

cundall

newbie

Join Date: Aug 2014 Posts: 19

Based on the knowledge that he can have 60 BI swings in a day, I don't think a bookie would offer odds greater than what he got at the start (2/1).

09-18-2014 , 10:58 AM

#2090

crashwhips

self-banned

Join Date: Oct 2007 Posts: 3,940

I see nothing wrong w/ offering bets in this thread now that challenge started + neither YaAarny or Ike looking for add'l action. 8:1 is a ridiculous price tho. If I had to estimate a fair price, maybe 2.5:1? Maybe only 2:1 actually. He's behind pace, but only 39bi away, he can win that much in a few good hrs at an ante table. I think he might actually be in better shape now than when he started the bet

09-18-2014 , 11:00 AM

#2091

cundall

newbie

Join Date: Aug 2014 Posts: 19

Quote:

Originally Posted by crashwhips

I agree with this, I think those prices are fair.

One things for sure, the sweat if getting pretty exciting, I hope he does it.

09-18-2014 , 11:06 AM

#2092

Play em cards

enthusiast

Join Date: Aug 2012 Posts: 63

I bet he wins, I put 500 vs someones 3,5k. Interested?

09-18-2014 , 11:16 AM

#2093

alexo18

veteran

Join Date: Sep 2010 Posts: 2,409

Lol

09-18-2014 , 11:36 AM

#2094

cundall

newbie

Join Date: Aug 2014 Posts: 19

I would like to make the same bet.

09-18-2014 , 11:37 AM

#2095

Koon93

veteran

Join Date: Mar 2012 Posts: 2,244

Lol. Seriously. 7:1 for him to lose is just lol

09-18-2014 , 12:07 PM

#2096

ChristopherEucken1

grinder

Join Date: Apr 2010 Posts: 537

i dont get it? he is an underdog now yet somehow people make him 8:1 favourite?

09-18-2014 , 12:11 PM

#2097

cundall

newbie

Join Date: Aug 2014 Posts: 19

No, someone wanted 8/1, I tried to rationalise those odds and failed.

I think people make him about 3/1.

09-18-2014 , 12:16 PM

#2098

lvanhoe

old hand

Join Date: Mar 2009 Posts: 1,383

09-18-2014 , 12:17 PM

#2099

Nobel1

grinder

Join Date: May 2012 Posts: 666

Poker Stars, $5/$10, $2 ante Pot Limit Omaha Cash, 2 Players
Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite. View Hand #30773341

YaAaRnY (BB): $2,348.08 (234.8 bb)
alexo18 (SB): $3,369.36 (336.9 bb)

Preflop:
alexo18 raises to $34, YaAaRnY raises to $106, alexo18 raises to $322, YaAaRnY calls $216

Flop: ($648) Q

(2 players)
YaAaRnY checks, alexo18 checks

Turn: ($648) 2

(2 players)
YaAaRnY bets $647.50, alexo18 calls $647.50

River: ($1,943) Q

(2 players)
YaAaRnY bets $1,376.58 and is all-in, alexo18 calls $1,376.58

Results: $4,696.16 pot ($0.50 rake)
Final Board: Q

YaAaRnY showed J

and won $4,695.66 ($2,347.58 net)
alexo18 mucked and lost (-$2,348.08 net)

Get the Flash Player to use the Hold'em Manager Replayer.

09-18-2014 , 12:21 PM

#2100

Testi

Taking care of business

Join Date: Jun 2011 Posts: 16,545

PokerStars, Omaha Pot Limit - $5/$10 ($2 ante) - 2 players
Rail Hand History Converter

alexo18 (BU): $3369.36 (337 bb)
YaAaRnY (BB): $2348.08 (235 bb)

Pre Flop: ($19)
alexo18 (BU) raises to $34, YaAaRnY (BB) 3-bets to $106, alexo18 (BU) 4-bets to $322, YaAaRnY (BB) calls $216

Flop: ($648) Q

(2 players)
YaAaRnY (BB) checks, alexo18 (BU) checks

Turn: ($648) 2

(2 players)
YaAaRnY (BB) bets $647.50, alexo18 (BU) calls $647.50

River: ($1943) Q

(2 players)
YaAaRnY (BB) bets $1376.58 (all-in), alexo18 (BU) calls $1376.58

Total pot: $4696.16 (Rake: $0.50)

Showdown:
YaAaRnY (BB) shows 8

(a full house, Queens full of Nines)
alexo18 (BU) mucks
YaAaRnY (BB) wins $4695.66

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