100 buy ins, in 31 days prop bet for $300k, finish 18:19 CET 23rd Sep - LIVE now
07-10-2014
, 02:29 AM
07-10-2014
, 06:36 AM
07-10-2014
, 07:46 AM
07-10-2014
, 08:59 AM
07-10-2014
, 09:15 AM
07-10-2014
, 10:33 AM
07-10-2014
, 12:53 PM
07-10-2014
, 01:33 PM
do you think 1.5/1 is fair ?
where are the math guys who always pop up saying if you have a X bb winrate you still break even Y % over 100k hands.
im sure everyone would realise how bad 2/1 is for me then
07-10-2014
, 02:42 PM
^Variance simulator to figure that out: http://pokerdope.com/poker-variance-calculator/
if you don't want to click links just google "poker variance simulator" and it should be top link or something.
Plug in bb/100, hands, and std deviation (can be found as HEM stat), leave "observed winrate" field clear, and boom, variance everywhere...
For example, 100k hands 5bb winrate, 220std dev. x axis is hands y axis is bb's won/lost:
if you don't want to click links just google "poker variance simulator" and it should be top link or something.
Plug in bb/100, hands, and std deviation (can be found as HEM stat), leave "observed winrate" field clear, and boom, variance everywhere...
For example, 100k hands 5bb winrate, 220std dev. x axis is hands y axis is bb's won/lost:
07-10-2014
, 02:45 PM
before this thread gets overly confusing, here is the current situation summarized
YaAaRnY to profit 10.000bb in 31 days at stakes 5/10 and higher
allowed tables:
-regular
-zoom
-deep ante
not allowed table:
-hu tables
current interest list for the bet with above mentioned rules (incl people who have withdrawn)
please correct me if there are mistakes in the list
YaAaRnY to profit 10.000bb in 31 days at stakes 5/10 and higher
allowed tables:
-regular
-zoom
-deep ante
not allowed table:
-hu tables
current interest list for the bet with above mentioned rules (incl people who have withdrawn)
please correct me if there are mistakes in the list
07-10-2014
, 02:48 PM
07-10-2014
, 03:14 PM
Quote:
not sure if this is an attempt to help or a hustle and you snap up the rest of the action
do you think 1.5/1 is fair ?
where are the math guys who always pop up saying if you have a X bb winrate you still break even Y % over 100k hands.
im sure everyone would realise how bad 2/1 is for me then
do you think 1.5/1 is fair ?
where are the math guys who always pop up saying if you have a X bb winrate you still break even Y % over 100k hands.
im sure everyone would realise how bad 2/1 is for me then
Minimum number of hands is beyond dumb unless you forfeit a large % of bet if you don't make it.
Last edited by Two SHAE; 07-10-2014 at 03:20 PM.
07-10-2014
, 04:01 PM
Quote:
i suggest yaaarny sets a firm start date for the bet (with the rules in the OP) and the escrow should be done 3 days before the bet.
should there be a minimum amount for yaaarny to risk, if this doesn't fill up, the bet is cancelled and escrow returns the money.
makes sense?
otherwise this back and forth will just keep on going.
alternatively change the rules if needed and we have to check everyone's interest again.
should there be a minimum amount for yaaarny to risk, if this doesn't fill up, the bet is cancelled and escrow returns the money.
makes sense?
otherwise this back and forth will just keep on going.
alternatively change the rules if needed and we have to check everyone's interest again.
Quote:
yarny, do what napsus said:
- make an ''oficial post'', saying the date you are starting, the minimum money bet you want to make this prop bet, write the name of escrow, judges and set the last day to guys send the money to escrow.
if you dont this, thread won't progress...
- make an ''oficial post'', saying the date you are starting, the minimum money bet you want to make this prop bet, write the name of escrow, judges and set the last day to guys send the money to escrow.
if you dont this, thread won't progress...
Ike has said he might wanna bet against , so i think it might run soon
gonna pm everyone who showed interest
07-10-2014
, 04:08 PM
07-10-2014
, 04:17 PM
07-10-2014
, 04:50 PM
07-10-2014
, 05:22 PM
haha you guys tilt me so much , i can see why you play 12/8
i can add 70k hands min , i lose if i don't play more.
07-10-2014
, 05:38 PM
07-10-2014
, 05:45 PM
Quote:
not sure if this is an attempt to help or a hustle and you snap up the rest of the action
do you think 1.5/1 is fair ?
where are the math guys who always pop up saying if you have a X bb winrate you still break even Y % over 100k hands.
im sure everyone would realise how bad 2/1 is for me then
do you think 1.5/1 is fair ?
where are the math guys who always pop up saying if you have a X bb winrate you still break even Y % over 100k hands.
im sure everyone would realise how bad 2/1 is for me then
Do you think you can achieve that? If not cancel ^^
It could also be an EV winrate of 8.65bb/100 over 100K hands fwiw
Or : 12.65evbb/100 over 70K hands
I think it's quite a tough challenge. Would bet against but no money to gamble lately ^^