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100 buy ins, in 31 days  prop bet for 0k, finish 18:19 CET 23rd Sep - LIVE now 100 buy ins, in 31 days  prop bet for 0k, finish 18:19 CET 23rd Sep - LIVE now

07-25-2014 , 04:39 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by SeaKing
Sent 10K ~
got it, booked
07-25-2014 , 07:34 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by OurSurveySays
Would like to bet 5kmagainst.
Lmk and I insta send.
Against Yaarny or the crowd?
07-25-2014 , 11:54 AM
please someone make this clear to me , are we talking about net won or ev net won ?

also ike please confirm u received 5k from actionfreak
07-25-2014 , 11:57 AM
Net won. Would be stupid to take Ev when you run well. x)
07-25-2014 , 12:03 PM
I would take 2.5 to 1 if the bet is in EV. Just saying
07-26-2014 , 09:45 AM
ike can you please confirm that I sent 2k last week? TIA

Quote:
Originally Posted by SmokeyJ
sent 2k
07-26-2014 , 10:50 AM
Id like to bet 5k against Yarny. I live in miami,Fl. I can send BOA?
07-27-2014 , 07:01 PM
I can take the BoA, and send ike stars.

(if you need to get paid out, would have to be on stars though)

lmk
07-27-2014 , 11:31 PM
whats the timeframe for when this starts?
07-28-2014 , 01:28 AM
I am curiously surprised at all the action booked. If OP is a 10bb/100 winner, then it is odds on over this sample. Are win rates for top regs online now really that low?

I get that getting 70k quality hands at this level will be hard. Many nit infested games, but afaik to be fair, 2:1 is saying that OP is a 2bb/100 winner. I don't like laying that kind of price in this spot at all.

I think as laid out even money is the correct price. When you are offered a proposition one must ask themselves what the one offering knows that you don't. In this case his experience is telling him with fairly high precision exactly what the math is. Only op knows exactly the numbers, but my bet is that he is better than even money to do this.
07-28-2014 , 01:49 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by krmont22
whats the timeframe for when this starts?
september 5-7, around that time frame, could be a bit earlier too iirc
07-28-2014 , 02:46 AM
I'm surprised people question why other people are betting then don't bet themselves
07-28-2014 , 03:18 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by ShipitFMA
I'm surprised people question why other people are betting then don't bet themselves
Same reason some of us don't ever play NLHE...I don't need action on something where I have almost no knowledge of the key variable in making the bet (his zoom win rate).
07-28-2014 , 03:31 AM
So how can you claim it's closer the 1:1 then? Zoom definitely isn't the key variable given how infrequently it runs
07-28-2014 , 08:28 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by hmm422
I think as laid out even money is the correct price. When you are offered a proposition one must ask themselves what the one offering knows that you don't. In this case his experience is telling him with fairly high precision exactly what the math is. Only op knows exactly the numbers, but my bet is that he is better than even money to do this.
If that's your bet, I'll take 10k at even odds.
07-28-2014 , 08:46 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by yrmom
If that's your bet, I'll take 10k at even odds.
lol yeah i don't get these guys...

so only op knows... ok i agree... and wtf are u trying? to ruin his business ? why not bet fortunes on 2:1 if u think that 1:1 is a good bet ? what the ****k
07-28-2014 , 11:16 AM
I was a (fairly unfunny) joke. It's pretty clear from the 4 messages after that he's not betting on it

Btw, I don't think you got it that 1:1 >> 2:1 for the "betting against Yaarny" camp
07-28-2014 , 11:23 AM
In
07-28-2014 , 12:34 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by ShipitFMA
So how can you claim it's closer the 1:1 then? Zoom definitely isn't the key variable given how infrequently it runs
I didn't claim I knew his odds, rather the opposite, but 10bb/100 makes it close to even money. I have no clue what his winrate can be under these terms. I know 10bb/100 is doable myself game selecting 5-10 and 10-20, but I haven't been able to get in 70k quality hands online in a month since 2008 or so. 12k hands would be a great month for me these days. Every SNE I know is not coming close to 10/bb 100 winrate, but they are playing in mostly poor games to accumulate the VPPs.

You're right, I've never seen 5-10 zoom run. The bbs are easier to win at higher stakes (more edge possible with slightly less rake proportionally), but it's harder to get enough hands at higher stakes. Winning 5,000bb EV in a month at 50-100 zoom alone seems impossible, so you are right. That's a lot of money coming out of a dried up ecosystem.
07-28-2014 , 03:54 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by yrmom
I was a (fairly unfunny) joke. It's pretty clear from the 4 messages after that he's not betting on it

Btw, I don't think you got it that 1:1 >> 2:1 for the "betting against Yaarny" camp
I was refering to hmm not you I obviously got your joke
07-28-2014 , 05:19 PM
just to be clear: you are not allowed to play 3x/9x or something like that?
07-28-2014 , 05:29 PM
I think that would count as collusion, since increased variance benefits yaarny's side of the bet.
07-29-2014 , 02:36 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Papicoolo
just to be clear: you are not allowed to play 3x/9x or something like that?
I think that's against the spirit of the bet, which when the rules are finalized something like that will be included, im just gonna be playing my normal month , no angles.

if theres any rules the bettors want added just lemme know.

sent 30 so far, just to give a little update on possible start dates , im relocating 20th august so once I get set up ( maybe 4-7 days) , il be good to go.
07-29-2014 , 02:42 PM
also, it makes me happy people are taking my side in the bet , but please just bet vs ike so I don't get anymore people trying to make the games harder.
07-30-2014 , 03:06 PM
Looking to bet against Yaarny, around 5-10k. Would like to send BoA, duno if I can do stars. Maybe by the start of the bet. Is Zima escrowing at all?

      
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