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Correct shove river spot Correct shove river spot

02-01-2019 , 08:29 PM
Hey all,

Wanted to get some thoughts on the turn check as well as the sizing on the river.

FULL HAND:

https://play.globalpoker.com/gp/10/h...4b052e49039d51

Global Poker $3k GTD 9-max Turbo (120ish runners)

I am the one of the big stacks at the table with Villain but we are all shallow.

Blinds 200/400 - the bubble is 10 spots away.

Hero (UTG +1): $9211 (23BB)

A bunch of 8-15BB stacks

Villain (BB): $9849 (25BB)

SB posts 200, Villain in BB posts 400

Pre Flop: Hero in UTG+1 raises A2 to 955
6 folds. Villain in BB completes.

Flop (Pot 2,470): 4Q5

Villain checks. Hero bets 1295. Villain calls.

Turn (Pot 5600 - Stacks 6,961 effective): 3

Villain checks. Hero checks back.

Thoughts on balancing range vs getting value from decently strong OOP calling range?

River (Pot 5600 - Stacks 6,961 effective): 3

Villain checks. Hero jams 6,961

Notes: When the Villain checks back this river his entire range seems like one pair or worse. I can't imagine flopped two pair, TPTK, and most Full Houses not leading this river after I check the turn. Based on the action, I see Villain's range to be a low-strength Queens (which are now 2 pair as well), underpairs to the Queen, and rags.

I have two understandings of the river sizing, because of my turn check:

1. Max Value Jamming river (1.2x pot) after checking turn polarizes my range to nuts or bluffs. I have a loose image and Any Queen is going to find it hard to fold, and I know I would choose this sizing on my bluffs (KJs, AKs, AJs, Adx maybe, probably checking back A4 A5s). Even gonna get some hero calls with underpairs.

2. Bet 40-60% pot to accommodate his weaker river range. Get more calls from underpairs and all single pairs which turned into two pair.

Let me know what you guys think. Thank you as always!
Correct shove river spot Quote
02-01-2019 , 08:45 PM
Fold pre

Don't bleed your stack raise/folding crappy hands
Correct shove river spot Quote
02-04-2019 , 07:10 AM
bet turn.
Too much overthinking.

Pre could be a fold or a raise depending on opponents.
flop could be raise or check depending on opponent.

river is check as played.
Correct shove river spot Quote
02-04-2019 , 12:04 PM
Not sure about the river shove. That move works best when villain can put some obvious bluffs in your range, but it will be hard for him to do that here. I think I just go for a standard value bet.
Correct shove river spot Quote
02-04-2019 , 05:07 PM
Couple notes in my opinion - try to save A2s for mp in most spots especially more shallow and I'd cbet 1/3 on that texture regardless of stack size but especially more shallow. Turn no reason to check, you still get plenty of value from Qx, 5x, and stubborn 4x as well as now many two pairs and pair +straight draws. Always want to charge opponent on turn and not give them discounts or let them realize for free (even with as strong of a hand as yours).

River is a clear value bet but small sizing. What part of villian's range are you attacking on river? Most players aren't checking boats here (especially recs) and shoving only gets you paid by Qx or backdoor 3x imo.
Correct shove river spot Quote

      
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