Hey all,
Wanted to get some thoughts on the turn check as well as the sizing on the river.
FULL HAND:
https://play.globalpoker.com/gp/10/h...4b052e49039d51
Global Poker $3k GTD 9-max Turbo (120ish runners)
I am the one of the big stacks at the table with Villain but we are all shallow.
Blinds 200/400 - the bubble is 10 spots away.
Hero (UTG +1): $9211 (23BB)
A bunch of 8-15BB stacks
Villain (BB): $9849 (25BB)
SB posts 200, Villain in BB posts 400
Pre Flop: Hero in UTG+1 raises A
2
to 955
6 folds. Villain in BB completes.
Flop (Pot 2,470): 4
Q
5
Villain checks. Hero bets 1295. Villain calls.
Turn (Pot 5600 - Stacks 6,961 effective): 3
Villain checks. Hero checks back.
Thoughts on balancing range vs getting value from decently strong OOP calling range?
River (Pot 5600 - Stacks 6,961 effective): 3
Villain checks. Hero jams 6,961
Notes: When the Villain checks back this river his entire range seems like one pair or worse. I can't imagine flopped two pair, TPTK, and most Full Houses not leading this river after I check the turn. Based on the action, I see Villain's range to be a low-strength Queens (which are now 2 pair as well), underpairs to the Queen, and rags.
I have two understandings of the river sizing, because of my turn check:
1. Max Value Jamming river (1.2x pot) after checking turn polarizes my range to nuts or bluffs. I have a loose image and Any Queen is going to find it hard to fold, and I know I would choose this sizing on my bluffs (KJs, AKs, AJs, Adx maybe, probably checking back A4 A5s). Even gonna get some hero calls with underpairs.
2. Bet 40-60% pot to accommodate his weaker river range. Get more calls from underpairs and all single pairs which turned into two pair.
Let me know what you guys think. Thank you as always!