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I'm also willing to bet that most player graphs that are way under "EV" are graphs of players who have just been playing bad, typically "always getting it in good" which is obviously bad if you're trying to play the right way.
i'm sure you know this but, the EV graph doesnt have much to do with "getting it in good" which is obviously bad in sngs etc - as it is based on your expected equity from the all-in, not the chip difference. So you can't really infer this from these graph. I would happily take your bet if there was any systematic way we can show things.
People who post these graphs have been running bad in all-ins, bottom line. You can't say they played bad, or good, just that they've been damn unlucky on one of many factors - and probably the most 'visible' as well as easy to calculate - that govern how 'lucky' we get in SNGs. Whether you consider it relevant or not to sweat over this one measure of luck, I think it is fair to say the red line is a closer representation of your winrate than the green line.
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Originally Posted by dave1mo
Considering my history over the last 2 years, and the fact that I study 3/4 of my HH's...I'm gonna say I'm not playing poorly.
And a 90 buyin difference has to be telling you something. It may not be as extreme as it looks..but you can't just ignore it.
Despite 90-buyins being pretty sucky, there are graphs of 200 buyin+ differences in this thread.
edit: i dont mean to say you shouldnt post 90-buyin diff graphs, just so you know that things can be 3x as worse!
Last edited by Hood; 07-04-2009 at 10:34 AM.