Join Date: Sep 2010
Posts: 733
Flop might be a bet, seems close.
Yes, this is a difficult spot on the river, that isn’t a reason not to bet. The majority of the time when you bet, you get called by a worse flush, and villain has a lot of worse flushes here, occasionally you even get called by an ace. If you check, almost all those hands checkback and everything better bets. Not a very profitable situation to put yourself in.
The pot odds after villains river raise are not telling you to call, they are telling you what % of the time you need to be correct with your river call. What hands does villain raise for value given all the action: definitely Kd, A3, 66, and maybe 99 that he doesn’t 3bet pre. Maybe, maybe, he raises Jd and 10d, this would be pretty terrible though. What hands does he minraise bluff, I can’t come up with any. It’s close, folding might be correct here.