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BUBBLE PLAY!! BUBBLE PLAY!!

12-10-2018 , 03:38 PM
Hand History driven straight to this forum with DriveHUD Poker Tracking Software

I ran this through ICMizer and came to a conclusion that i didnt think i would. How do others approach this scenario in real time???
spadez

NL Holdem $150(BB)
SB ($2715) [VPIP: 16% | PFR: 11.3% | AGG: 26.8% | 3-Bet: 2.6% | Hands: 214]
BB ($4287) [VPIP: 26.4% | PFR: 12.4% | AGG: 26.8% | 3-Bet: 2.9% | Hands: 180]
CO ($3795) [VPIP: 26.4% | PFR: 6.4% | AGG: 27.3% | 3-Bet: 0% | Hands: 111]
HERO ($2703) [VPIP: 25% | PFR: 19.7% | AGG: 30.2% | 3-Bet: 7.8% | Hands: 196059]

Dealt to Hero: T A

CO Folds, HERO Raises To $2703 (allin), SB Raises To $2715 (allin), BB Folds

Flop ($5568): 5 5 9

Turn ($5568): 5 5 9 9

River ($5568): 5 5 9 9 J

Spoiler:

SB shows: A J

SB wins: $5556
BUBBLE PLAY!! Quote
12-10-2018 , 04:01 PM
What do You think about an exploitable aproach to this bubble spot.
Just go with the minraise and play from there. If the BB is very agressive i like taking the unexploit here, but with 26/12/3 player in BB i prefer a min here.

And pls dont say ''but its profitable to jam here''
BUBBLE PLAY!! Quote
12-11-2018 , 04:01 PM
So while playing in real time. I thought this is a slam dunk shove. I plugged in some ranges into ICMizer with which i thought were reasonable call off ranges for the blinds and it seems that A10s is really close to break even and slightly losing play.
The blinds were 75/150 and i agree completely that we can min raise this button and go from there.

spadez
BUBBLE PLAY!! Quote
12-14-2018 , 02:39 PM
ICMizer also should give you the adjusted nash push/fold ranges as well, not just villains calling range. I'll plug this hand in and see what it say regarding that. I guess I'm the dummy in me would just jam this here with no second thoughts... I mean it's 4 handed. I'm jammin WIDE.

It's important to note that you plugged in villains calling range. Of course you're gonna be slightly behind his calling range... It's HIS CALLING RANGE. He's folding a vast of the time here and "its profitable to jam here.''

Again I would look at what ICMizer says Nash is here and you'd be surprised by how wide you could be shoving here.
BUBBLE PLAY!! Quote
12-14-2018 , 02:54 PM
Here is the shoving range ICM spat back at me... 19.8% (19.8%) 22+,A2s+,ATo+,K9s+,KTo+,Q9s+,QJo,J9s+,T9s...

This is roughly the range you can be shoving here profitably. You could even tighten this up quite a bit and A10s is still going to be profitable and at the top of your shoving range 4 handed on the button... Just saying.
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