This is a strategy that I've been testing due to free equity being given way too much at low stakes.


I have been stalling every hand till I sit out to kill time and let the other table play way more hands.

These are my 4 hands that I played. And EVERY HAND I WENT ALL IN PREFLOP .. no postflop play at all

The first hand I shoved all in on button.. blinds 15/30 and I get called by A4o on big blind!!!

- JJ vs A4o , equal chips (70% win rate)
- QQ vs Q9o , he has 40-50% of my chips (89.25% to win)
- AKo vs AJo , he has 40-50% of my chips (71.41% to win)
- AKo vs A5s (65.80% to win) , I have 30% of HIS chips, he his chip leader .. 11K vs 3.3K final table 6 left.. bottom 2 has 2800 and 2900 chips.. top 3 has 11K, 7500 and 4500 chips..
- final 4 pays , I got eliminated by A5s

Blinds 150/300 ante 30 .. chip leader mid position open raises 2.5x BB preflop and I go all-in..

Little about me.. extremely tight image..

This whole tournament they have been ******edly aggressive and I feel like I'm drowning in free equity.

I have played ONLY 4 HANDS this entire 18 players turbo (9 plyrs per table) tourney

I did fold 99 on the final table hand #1 and also AT and worst, I don't remember being dealt hands like AJ/AQ/TT

I have been stalling like a super tight annoying player until I time out every hand to advance the play on the other table I'm not playing on.

The probability of winning those 4 hands and being 2nd chip leader in final 6 is:

Assuming 4 independent events so we can multiply the probability.

70% * 89.25% * 71.41% * 65.80%
Equals to 29.36% to win all 4 hands and be 2nd chip leader in final 6


Should I keep doing this because 29.36% to win 4 heads up preflop in a row isn't that like super amazingly good ??

Or is my math wrong that we can't assume independent events or it's another formula ?

It's fine if they call. Keep doing it until they start folding.