Quote:
Originally Posted by jmakin
You can back test a few months back though and produce similar results, especially considering how broad in scope this system appears to be. 4 sports, overs, unders, point totals, what else? Gotta be able to find some filters to apply.
Tbh it looks to me like he thinks he's discovered some structural weakness in the bookies' odds rather than actually doing any real handicapping
per se.
There are definitely some exploitable market edges in sports betting, but they're not common and tend to be rather small or illiquid, the markets are largely efficient.
Just as an old example, I had a good time back in the 1980's backing every single UK soccer match as a 3-3 draw at 80-1. True odds were about 63-1 iirc. Quite an edge, but the huge losing runs meant that I could never put real money behind it. Then someone pointed out the discrepancy in the press and next week all the coupons went to 50-1. Bye bye system.