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Malaysia Airlines 777 Disappears: 239 on board. Malaysia Airlines 777 Disappears: 239 on board.

03-17-2014 , 09:27 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by housenuts
isn't the plane on autopilot like 95% of the time?

It's on autopilot virtually 100% of the time from reaching cruise altitude to start down (a pilot might occasionally click off the autopilot to adjust aileron trim, but that's fairly rare).

But the reason you always want a pilot at a control seat is just on the off chance that that's the moment of an engine failure.
Malaysia Airlines 777 Disappears: 239 on board. Quote
03-17-2014 , 09:36 PM
Let's say something happened and the plane travelled for a few hours before crashing uncontrolled in an uninhabited land area. Would this explosion with certainty register on a seismographic, heat sensor etc.?
Malaysia Airlines 777 Disappears: 239 on board. Quote
03-17-2014 , 09:36 PM
Pretty crazy that we have had autopilot for decades yet driverless cars are a decade away.
Malaysia Airlines 777 Disappears: 239 on board. Quote
03-17-2014 , 09:38 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by ChrisV
Any theory that this was not hijacking has to explain why the plane flew between several waypoints, imitating common routes of commercial flights in the area.

So I finally took the time to look up how ACARS works. There are articles here and here on it.

Basically ACARS is a messaging system where the messages can be sent either via VHF radio or SATCOM. It's a bit like how you can access the internet via wifi or 3G, it's the same internet just different access routes.

SATCOM is the same system that provided the pings to the Inmarsat satellite. It's hard to come up with a scenario where the plane responds to SATCOM pings from Inmarsat, but cannot transmit ACARS messages, without ACARS having been turned off by human hands. So this looks like more confirmation that this was piracy.
Saw this NYTimes article:

Quote:
WASHINGTON — The first turn to the west that diverted the missing Malaysia Airlines plane from its planned flight path from Kuala Lumpur to Beijing was carried out through a computer system that was most likely programmed by someone in the plane’s cockpit who was knowledgeable about airplane systems, according to senior American officials.

Instead of manually operating the plane’s controls, whoever altered Flight 370’s path typed seven or eight keystrokes into a computer on a knee-high pedestal between the captain and the first officer, according to officials. The Flight Management System, as the computer is known, directs the plane from point to point specified in the flight plan submitted before each flight. It is not clear whether the plane’s path was reprogrammed before or after it took off.

The fact that the turn away from Beijing was programmed into the computer has reinforced the belief of investigators — first voiced by Malaysian officials — that the plane was deliberately diverted and that foul play was involved. It has also increased their focus on the plane’s captain and first officer.
http://www.nytimes.com/2014/03/18/wo...ight.html?_r=0

IMO this makes accident theories almost nil, so I think you are right as you posted
Malaysia Airlines 777 Disappears: 239 on board. Quote
03-17-2014 , 09:38 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Riverman
Pretty crazy that we have had autopilot for decades yet driverless cars are a decade away.
Cars are usually a lot closer together than planes.
Malaysia Airlines 777 Disappears: 239 on board. Quote
03-17-2014 , 09:38 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Morphismus
Interesting theory, but yeah it's really a bit James Bond super-villain style. An since we're already there: W0X0F how realistic would it be that the culprits were hid as stowaways (with the help of ground personnel obv.) prior to the flight? E.g. 2 armed persons working with an insider in the cabin crew?
I'm really getting kind of maxed out on the conspiracy theory du jour. I would say this is very unlikely, at least in the U.S. But in Malaysia? Who knows?
Malaysia Airlines 777 Disappears: 239 on board. Quote
03-17-2014 , 09:43 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by W0X0F
It's on autopilot virtually 100% of the time from reaching cruise altitude to start down (a pilot might occasionally click off the autopilot to adjust aileron trim, but that's fairly rare).

But the reason you always want a pilot at a control seat is just on the off chance that that's the moment of an engine failure.
am I the only one who didn't know this?

W0X0F, so what happens when you get some bad turbulence, you don't adjust anything?


Sorry for derail
Malaysia Airlines 777 Disappears: 239 on board. Quote
03-17-2014 , 09:45 PM
A Disappearing airplane is crazy.
Malaysia Airlines 777 Disappears: 239 on board. Quote
03-17-2014 , 09:51 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by rugby
1. Where are these transponders located? Could a single event cause decompression and damage to the transponders at the same time? What about other radio systems? Are they all in the same place? Do they use any of the same components?
The transponders are located in the equipment bay which is below the cockpit in a 767 (probably the same on a 777). The control for the transponder is on the center console between the pilots. All electronics (incl radios) are in that area. Same components? I don't understand what you mean. They are all separate pieces of electronic equipment.

Quote:
2. How does autopilot work? Someone mentions something about altitude being programmed in separately?
I discussed that earlier itt. Yes, altitude can be "programmed in", but you can only go one way without pilot intervention (i.e. You could descend but couldn't "program" it to climb later.)

Quote:
I.e. Pilots manually set course for return airport, set autopilot direction, lower altitude to a safe pressure, something goes wrong, they go back onto autopilot and the autopilot takes them back up to original height where they all die.
Impossible scenario.
Malaysia Airlines 777 Disappears: 239 on board. Quote
03-17-2014 , 09:52 PM
Wonder woman has an invisible plane so it's not quite as uncommon as you think.
Malaysia Airlines 777 Disappears: 239 on board. Quote
03-17-2014 , 09:53 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by rugby


Some of that arc is pretty damn empty. The above is a population density map.
But you also must consider an elevation map:



It doesn't look like there would be many safe places to land along that arc, but I could be wrong.
Malaysia Airlines 777 Disappears: 239 on board. Quote
03-17-2014 , 09:53 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by rugby
Ok, even simpler theory. Scratch that last part. Explosive decompression, pilots pass out due to the effects of the bends, autopilot just keeps them going north until they crash...

More questions.

1. I assume that a big pressure change could cause the pilots to pass out? if it was the cockpit which blew out, they could even get sucked out of the hole, Hollywood movie style.

2. Autopilot... Is this plausible? I.e. With no further instruction, the plane just keeps flying on that arc until it crashes?

This all assumes that a bunch of the info we have been given is just rubbish. I.e. The altitude changes, etc,
If the cockpit "blew out" then all bets are off. Keep speculating. It's fun, isn't it?
Malaysia Airlines 777 Disappears: 239 on board. Quote
03-17-2014 , 09:55 PM
This is no doubt some of Dr Evil's best work ever.

Last edited by campfirewest; 03-17-2014 at 10:24 PM.
Malaysia Airlines 777 Disappears: 239 on board. Quote
03-17-2014 , 09:57 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by chisness
I don't think it can be ruled out, but the transponder going off being occurring just after signing off with Malaysian ATC and further indication of human controlling the path means it's very unlikely imo
Yeah fair enough.
Malaysia Airlines 777 Disappears: 239 on board. Quote
03-17-2014 , 09:58 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Riverman
Pretty crazy that we have had autopilot for decades yet driverless cars are a decade away.
We might have had driverless cars earlier if you had controllers telling each car's occupant when another car is within 7 miles of it ( as we have with airplanes).

You're making a specious comparison. Two completely different things.
Malaysia Airlines 777 Disappears: 239 on board. Quote
03-17-2014 , 10:00 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by CRCK
But you also must consider an elevation map:



It doesn't look like there would be many safe places to land along that arc, but I could be wrong.
I don't think they landed safely, i think they crashed somewhere no one saw it. Perhaps one of those mountains.
Malaysia Airlines 777 Disappears: 239 on board. Quote
03-17-2014 , 10:01 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by bigpotpoker
am I the only one who didn't know this?

W0X0F, so what happens when you get some bad turbulence, you don't adjust anything?


Sorry for derail
The only thing we change is the airspeed. In bad turbulence we slow to .78M or 290 KIAS, whichever is lower. We'll also look into to changing altitude for a smoother ride.
Malaysia Airlines 777 Disappears: 239 on board. Quote
03-17-2014 , 10:03 PM
So the New York Times and CNN are saying now that "some numbers or coordinates or other thing was entered into the computer on the plane" and that's what originally caused it to turn west over the gulf of Thailand.

How can they even know this data? What is the computer thing that does this?
Malaysia Airlines 777 Disappears: 239 on board. Quote
03-17-2014 , 10:05 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by W0X0F
Yes. You can't have one pilot alone in the cockpit. The second person doesn't necessarily have to be a flight attendant. If we have a jumpseater in the cockpit, that satisfies the requirement.
So would Leonardo DiCaprio in Catch Me if You Can have sat in the pilots seat while the pilot went to the bathroom? If you haven't seen the film Leo was pretending to be a pilot on another airline who was catching a ride in the jump seat.

Malaysia Airlines 777 Disappears: 239 on board. Quote
03-17-2014 , 10:06 PM
I think the 2 most feasible options now are (1) single pilot or (2) extraordinarily sophisticated pre-planned scheme by others (with or without pilot cooperation in advance). I believe (1) is much more likely and that (1) is more likely to be near the southern arc, while (2) only makes sense for the northern.
Malaysia Airlines 777 Disappears: 239 on board. Quote
03-17-2014 , 10:20 PM
feel bad for the search crews. i've completed an exhaustive search of my land and airspace and have come up empty too, so i know what they are going through.
Malaysia Airlines 777 Disappears: 239 on board. Quote
03-17-2014 , 10:23 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by rugby
I think given the conflicting and inaccurate information we are being given, we can place a high probability that any one "fact" we think we have, just simply isn't true.
Here is the problem too...when the truth is 'disclosed' how likely is that to be accurate? Malaysian government lied for six days saying plan was in one spot when it was actually diverted. And waiting over a week to search pilots' homes? Officials should have been there contemporaneously.

Expect more lies and cover-ups. The necessary ingredients for conspiracy theorists to make a hearty stew.
Malaysia Airlines 777 Disappears: 239 on board. Quote
03-17-2014 , 10:37 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by golfnutt
Here is the problem too...when the truth is 'disclosed' how likely is that to be accurate? Malaysian government lied for six days saying plan was in one spot when it was actually diverted. And waiting over a week to search pilots' homes? Officials should have been there contemporaneously.

Expect more lies and cover-ups. The necessary ingredients for conspiracy theorists to make a hearty stew.
I think some (not all) of the flack the Malaysian government is getting is uncalled for. I doubt they lied about where the plane was. It's just that given the information they had that was the most reasonable place to look.

I could certainly be wrong about this but people frequently look back on a situation like this and judge people's actions with full knowledge and time to process it - two things that authorities in these situations rarely have.
Malaysia Airlines 777 Disappears: 239 on board. Quote
03-17-2014 , 10:45 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by golfnutt
Here is the problem too...when the truth is 'disclosed' how likely is that to be accurate? Malaysian government lied for six days saying plan was in one spot when it was actually diverted. And waiting over a week to search pilots' homes? Officials should have been there contemporaneously.

Expect more lies and cover-ups. The necessary ingredients for conspiracy theorists to make a hearty stew.
I don't think they lied intentionally. The note about possibly seeing something on radar was brought up early on, but certainly made sense to search where transponder signal was lost to begin with.

I also read reports that they had searched the homes earlier and then did additional searching once foul play seemed more obvious.
Malaysia Airlines 777 Disappears: 239 on board. Quote
03-17-2014 , 10:47 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by WhiteGoose
So the New York Times and CNN are saying now that "some numbers or coordinates or other thing was entered into the computer on the plane" and that's what originally caused it to turn west over the gulf of Thailand.

How can they even know this data? What is the computer thing that does this?
They can't know this.

I was over at my parents' house earlier today and my dad was watching Megyn Kelly on Fox News (my parents are right in the Fox demographic). I cannot stand Fox News and Megyn Kelly was just horrible in her interviews with various "experts." I wanted to throw up at some of the misstatements and spin she was putting on things. She just takes a little bit of information and then spins it into a whole scenario.

The circus surrounding this thing is so repugnant to me. The 24 hour cable news monster must love it...fresh meat! But the discourse is nauseating
Malaysia Airlines 777 Disappears: 239 on board. Quote

      
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